BACKTEST ANTIGUO · SOLO ORIENTATIVO. Puede contener operaciones solapadas y comparaciones temporales imperfectas. No debe justificar una compra ni validar rentabilidad. Usa Fase 6A.4 y 6B para evidencia prospectiva.
Comparativa de reglas con soportes importantes calculados históricamente.
Personalidad detectada: Estándar (standard)
De momento la personalidad solo se muestra para analizar resultados. No cambia las reglas del backtest. Así evitamos sobreoptimizar antes de medir bien.
| Estrategia | Operaciones | Acierto | Media 30 días | Media ganadoras | Media perdedoras | Ratio R/B |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solo soporte importante | 96 | 64.58% | 4.32% | 11.15% | -8.12% | 1.37 |
| Soporte + SMA200 | 12 | 33.33% | -2.83% | 3.95% | -6.22% | 0.64 |
| Soporte + momentum 10d | 48 | 56.25% | 2.71% | 11.18% | -8.18% | 1.37 |
| Breakout 20d + volumen | 2 | 100.00% | 12.72% | 12.72% | -0.00% | 0.00 |
| Breakout + volumen + bull market | 1 | 100.00% | 0.02% | 0.02% | -0.00% | 0.00 |
| Soporte + rebote 3% | 44 | 61.36% | 3.65% | 11.49% | -8.80% | 1.31 |
| Acumulación simple | 14 | 78.57% | 9.58% | 15.13% | -10.77% | 1.40 |
| Soporte + SMA200 + momentum + rebote | 8 | 25.00% | -4.08% | 3.10% | -6.48% | 0.48 |
| Fecha | Precio | SMA200 | Soporte | Distancia soporte | Caída previa | Rebote | Resultado 30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-03 | 118.70 | 109.49 | 117.22 | 1.27% | 0.00% | 13.65% | -0.25% |
| 2023-04-03 | 121.46 | 108.06 | 116.91 | 3.90% | 7.71% | 4.16% | -13.21% |
| 2023-05-02 | 120.58 | 110.01 | 116.06 | 3.90% | 3.07% | 7.18% | 3.78% |
| 2025-05-14 | 137.45 | 129.28 | 135.73 | 1.27% | 0.43% | 12.97% | -2.13% |
| 2025-06-12 | 138.81 | 130.26 | 133.60 | 3.90% | 1.30% | 4.45% | 2.41% |
| 2025-12-24 | 136.78 | 126.51 | 135.07 | 1.27% | 0.12% | 3.77% | -11.31% |
| 2026-01-09 | 139.27 | 127.05 | 134.05 | 3.90% | 0.00% | 4.71% | -9.77% |
| 2026-04-15 | 137.51 | 128.03 | 132.35 | 3.90% | 0.00% | 10.03% | -2.19% |