BACKTEST ANTIGUO · SOLO ORIENTATIVO. Puede contener operaciones solapadas y comparaciones temporales imperfectas. No debe justificar una compra ni validar rentabilidad. Usa Fase 6A.4 y 6B para evidencia prospectiva.
Comparativa de reglas con soportes importantes calculados históricamente.
Personalidad detectada: Volátil / cripto (volatile)
De momento la personalidad solo se muestra para analizar resultados. No cambia las reglas del backtest. Así evitamos sobreoptimizar antes de medir bien.
| Estrategia | Operaciones | Acierto | Media 30 días | Media ganadoras | Media perdedoras | Ratio R/B |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solo soporte importante | 110 | 50.91% | 1.42% | 17.88% | -15.65% | 1.14 |
| Soporte + SMA200 | 23 | 52.17% | 1.20% | 8.38% | -6.64% | 1.26 |
| Soporte + momentum 10d | 49 | 61.22% | 4.94% | 14.72% | -10.51% | 1.40 |
| Breakout 20d + volumen | 2 | 100.00% | 7.70% | 7.70% | -0.00% | 0.00 |
| Breakout + volumen + bull market | 2 | 100.00% | 7.70% | 7.70% | -0.00% | 0.00 |
| Soporte + rebote 3% | 56 | 57.14% | 4.33% | 20.37% | -17.05% | 1.19 |
| Acumulación simple | 27 | 44.44% | 0.70% | 27.87% | -21.04% | 1.32 |
| Soporte + SMA200 + momentum + rebote | 8 | 87.50% | 9.57% | 11.32% | -2.70% | 4.20 |
| Fecha | Precio | SMA200 | Soporte | Distancia soporte | Caída previa | Rebote | Resultado 30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-16 | 1,580.24 | 1,376.17 | 1,560.48 | 1.27% | 0.86% | 17.83% | 19.27% |
| 2023-03-26 | 1,647.54 | 1,380.03 | 1,585.75 | 3.90% | 1.76% | 3.05% | 3.21% |
| 2023-06-24 | 1,718.56 | 1,532.18 | 1,697.08 | 1.27% | 3.58% | 9.31% | -2.70% |
| 2023-11-01 | 1,744.69 | 1,641.42 | 1,679.27 | 3.90% | 0.00% | 3.80% | 9.83% |
| 2023-11-06 | 1,772.50 | 1,637.63 | 1,706.03 | 3.90% | 0.00% | 4.50% | 16.94% |
| 2024-11-25 | 3,268.52 | 2,726.99 | 3,227.66 | 1.27% | 0.00% | 12.20% | 2.77% |
| 2025-07-28 | 3,265.99 | 2,253.20 | 3,225.17 | 1.27% | 0.93% | 5.94% | 18.38% |
| 2025-08-07 | 3,352.31 | 2,250.81 | 3,226.60 | 3.90% | 0.00% | 14.54% | 8.82% |