AlphaRadar Brain

Ejecuciones del scanner

Trazabilidad de ejecuciones manuales y cron.

La tarea automática debe llamar a /api/daily_scanner.php?cron=1 para aparecer como «cron». Horario recomendado: 22:15, de lunes a viernes, Europe/Madrid. Abrir salud técnica 6D · Diagnóstico de cron.

Inicio	Origen	Estado	Duración	Activos	Éxitos	Errores	Detalle
2026-09-09 10:45:59	manual	EN CURSO	s	0	0	0	Pasos []
2026-09-08 22:30:06	manual	CORRECTO	23.736 s	31	31	0	Pasos { "cron_meta": { "ok": true, "origin": "manual", "sapi": "cgi-fcgi", "cron_query": false, "cron_header": false, "basic_auth": false, "host": "alpharadar.easymenorca.com", "https": false, "user_agent": "" }, "ohlc_diario": { "ok": true, "http": 301 }, "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 301 }, "credito": { "ok": true, "http": 301, "source": "FRED · HY OAS", "fred_ok": null }, "riesgo_mercado": { "ok": true, "score": 15, "state": "NORMAL", "credit_source": "HYG\/LQD · PROXY", "indexa_signal": "SIN SEÑAL TÁCTICA", "indexa": "SIN SEÑAL TÁCTICA · MANTENER 7" }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 31, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 301 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 15, "market_regime_score": 85, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 85, "risk_score": 15, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 22, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,44%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 17, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 15,30 · 5D +2,5%" }, { "name": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 20, "max": 20, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200" }, { "name": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,6% · TLT 20D -0,7%" }, { "name": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 11, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,2% · HYG 5D -0,7%" } ], "formula": "Crédito HY 30 · VIX 20 · tendencia\/amplitud 20 · dólar\/tipos 15 · apetito 15", "risk": { "ok": true, "risk_score": 15, "risk_state": "NORMAL", "emoji": "🟢", "class": "good", "data_status": "FIABLE", "completeness": 100, "latest_dates": { "SPY": "2026-09-04", "QQQ": "2026-09-04", "IWM": "2026-09-04", "^VIX": "2026-09-07", "TLT": "2026-09-04", "HYG": "2026-09-04", "LQD": "2026-09-04", "DX-Y.NYB": "2026-09-07" }, "worst_age_days": 4, "high_yield_spread": null, "credit_state": "SANO", "credit_source": "HYG\/LQD · PROXY", "indexa_profile": 7, "indexa_base_profile": 7, "indexa_signal": "SIN SEÑAL TÁCTICA", "indexa_target_profile": 7, "indexa_action": "SIN SEÑAL TÁCTICA · MANTENER 7", "action_text": "No hay deterioro conjunto suficiente para una reducción táctica. Esto no demuestra que el perfil 7 sea adecuado para tu tolerancia personal al riesgo.", "indexa_reasons": [ "Sin dos alertas tempranas simultáneas" ], "reentry_text": "No aplica: el perfil actual coincide con el objetivo de largo plazo.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,44%", "value": 0.43897149535343516 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 3, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 15,30 · 5D +2,5%", "value": 15.3 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 0, "max": 20, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200", "value": 770.190002 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,6% · TLT 20D -0,7%", "value": { "dxy": -0.645158284912839, "tlt": -0.6645758660083212 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 4, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,2% · HYG 5D -0,7%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -0.1658883786342824, "hyg5": -0.7273564265702581, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.1-indexa-anticipation", "captured_at": "2026-09-08T22:30:14+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Tecnología lidera", "assets": { "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "-0.39", "last_price": "770.1900", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:00" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "0.18", "last_price": "718.9600", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:00" }, "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.17", "last_price": "82.2100", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:01" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "0.02", "last_price": "99.1760", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:01" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "5.30", "last_price": "15.3000", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:01" }, "IWM": { "symbol": "IWM", "last_change": "0.28", "last_price": "296.0100", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:03" }, "HYG": { "symbol": "HYG", "last_change": "-0.06", "last_price": "79.1600", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:03" }, "LQD": { "symbol": "LQD", "last_change": "-0.02", "last_price": "105.4800", "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:03" } }, "updated_at": "2026-09-07 22:27:03" }, "opportunities": 0, "threats": 10 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 2 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. La señal efectiva debe permitir entrada después del filtro de coherencia, con convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 6, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 1 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 108, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 31, "complete": 30, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-03-31", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, "drawdown_method": "cartera diaria marcada a mercado", "selection_rule": "mayor prioridad técnica; desempate por ticker", "overall_30_control": { "improves_average": false, "improves_reward_risk": true, "improves_drawdown": true, "beats_spy": false }, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ] }, "in_sample": { "BASE": { "7": { "operations": 827, "win_rate": 50.79, "average_return": 0.0682, "average_return_ci_low": -0.4027, "average_return_ci_high": 0.5391, "win_rate_ci_low": 47.38, "win_rate_ci_high": 54.18, "average_win": 4.3328, "average_loss": 4.3326, "reward_risk": 1, "portfolio_return": 1.6401, "max_drawdown": 28.9262, "excess_spy": -0.1318, "excess_qqq": -0.1597 }, "15": { "operations": 435, "win_rate": 50.34, "average_return": 0.8936, "average_return_ci_low": -0.2387, "average_return_ci_high": 2.0258, "win_rate_ci_low": 45.66, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.02, "average_win": 8.7645, "average_loss": 7.0866, "reward_risk": 1.237, "portfolio_return": 36.0683, "max_drawdown": 33.5278, "excess_spy": 0.5311, "excess_qqq": 0.4669 }, "30": { "operations": 237, "win_rate": 48.95, "average_return": 0.7727, "average_return_ci_low": -1.4988, "average_return_ci_high": 3.0441, "win_rate_ci_low": 42.65, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.28, "average_win": 12.7579, "average_loss": 10.7173, "reward_risk": 1.19, "portfolio_return": 11.7396, "max_drawdown": 39.7933, "excess_spy": -0.1804, "excess_qqq": -0.4542 } }, "BASE_MACD": { "7": { "operations": 695, "win_rate": 52.23, "average_return": 0.1168, "average_return_ci_low": -0.3698, "average_return_ci_high": 0.6035, "win_rate_ci_low": 48.51, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.92, "average_win": 4.0963, "average_loss": 4.2343, "reward_risk": 0.967, "portfolio_return": 5.3814, "max_drawdown": 27.2225, "excess_spy": -0.1242, "excess_qqq": -0.1195 }, "15": { "operations": 394, "win_rate": 50.51, "average_return": 0.4076, "average_return_ci_low": -0.7871, "average_return_ci_high": 1.6022, "win_rate_ci_low": 45.59, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.42, "average_win": 8.2547, "average_loss": 7.6005, "reward_risk": 1.086, "portfolio_return": 9.3026, "max_drawdown": 40.3912, "excess_spy": 0.0697, "excess_qqq": 0.0803 }, "30": { "operations": 225, "win_rate": 49.33, "average_return": 2.2222, "average_return_ci_low": -0.3669, "average_return_ci_high": 4.8114, "win_rate_ci_low": 42.87, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.82, "average_win": 14.6679, "average_loss": 9.8959, "reward_risk": 1.482, "portfolio_return": 49.5098, "max_drawdown": 39.5047, "excess_spy": 1.2333, "excess_qqq": 1.0142 } }, "BASE_MACD_ADX": { "7": { "operations": 654, "win_rate": 53.36, "average_return": 0.301, "average_return_ci_low": -0.2334, "average_return_ci_high": 0.8354, "win_rate_ci_low": 49.53, "win_rate_ci_high": 57.16, "average_win": 4.371, "average_loss": 4.3563, "reward_risk": 1.003, "portfolio_return": 18.247, "max_drawdown": 23.4585, "excess_spy": 0.0518, "excess_qqq": 0.0538 }, "15": { "operations": 375, "win_rate": 53.33, "average_return": 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"excess_spy": -0.2234, "excess_qqq": -0.2886 }, "15": { "operations": 328, "win_rate": 48.78, "average_return": -0.0344, "average_return_ci_low": -1.2274, "average_return_ci_high": 1.1585, "win_rate_ci_low": 43.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 54.17, "average_win": 7.7945, "average_loss": 7.4905, "reward_risk": 1.041, "portfolio_return": -5.2988, "max_drawdown": 34.775, "excess_spy": -0.3658, "excess_qqq": -0.471 }, "30": { "operations": 217, "win_rate": 50.23, "average_return": 1.1543, "average_return_ci_low": -1.3092, "average_return_ci_high": 3.6178, "win_rate_ci_low": 43.63, "win_rate_ci_high": 56.82, "average_win": 12.4599, "average_loss": 10.256, "reward_risk": 1.215, "portfolio_return": 16.4382, "max_drawdown": 35.5686, "excess_spy": 0.1042, "excess_qqq": -0.3207 } } }, "out_of_sample": { "BASE": { "7": { "operations": 360, "win_rate": 50.28, "average_return": 0.7289, "average_return_ci_low": 0.136, "average_return_ci_high": 1.3219, "win_rate_ci_low": 45.14, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.41, "average_win": 4.3954, "average_loss": 2.9785, "reward_risk": 1.476, "portfolio_return": 28.1475, "max_drawdown": 13.3757, "excess_spy": 0.209, "excess_qqq": 0.0396 }, "15": { "operations": 187, "win_rate": 51.34, "average_return": 1.0106, "average_return_ci_low": -0.2016, "average_return_ci_high": 2.2228, "win_rate_ci_low": 44.22, "win_rate_ci_high": 58.4, "average_win": 6.1432, "average_loss": 4.404, "reward_risk": 1.395, "portfolio_return": 19.7411, "max_drawdown": 14.0916, "excess_spy": -0.1566, "excess_qqq": -0.5021 }, "30": { "operations": 105, "win_rate": 60.95, "average_return": 1.9864, "average_return_ci_low": -0.0942, "average_return_ci_high": 4.067, "win_rate_ci_low": 51.39, "win_rate_ci_high": 69.74, "average_win": 7.5897, "average_loss": 6.7602, "reward_risk": 1.123, "portfolio_return": 21.1716, "max_drawdown": 15.6592, "excess_spy": -0.3129, "excess_qqq": -0.9004 } }, "BASE_MACD": { "7": { "operations": 303, "win_rate": 47.85, "average_return": 0.0099, 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5024.507000455704, "weight_pct": 44.74534412325848, "risk_pct_portfolio": 10.191866437828399 }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "quantity": 5.964402, "current_eur": 2140.72, "stop_eur": 1720.0452144300002, "value_eur": 12768.114649439998, "risk_eur": 2509.0735324032767, "weight_pct": 25.899241290373414, "risk_pct_portfolio": 5.089482873170483 }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": 34.882098, "current_eur": 150.54, "stop_eur": 123.274607906, "value_eur": 5251.15103292, "risk_eur": 951.0740790313329, "weight_pct": 10.651598249844472, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.9291882736134822 }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "quantity": 28.105677, "current_eur": 199.74, "stop_eur": 172.4768400564, "value_eur": 5613.82792398, "risk_eur": 766.2495673741603, "weight_pct": 11.387263347621253, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.554284479654012 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": 202.183582, "current_eur": 13.46, "stop_eur": 12.073454, "value_eur": 2721.39101372, "risk_eur": 280.33683688777217, "weight_pct": 5.520154262781427, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.5686439682349583 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1896, "stop_eur": 0.1555899468, "value_eur": 885.6099155208, "risk_eur": 158.85886255965144, "weight_pct": 1.7963987261209624, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.3222342628891675 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 248, "successes": 242, "errors": [ "DAWN: HTTP 404", "AKRO: HTTP 404", "STM.PA: HTTP 404", "UNI-USD: Histórico insuficiente", "SPCX: Histórico insuficiente", "EXAS: HTTP 404" ], "featured": 5, "run_id": 202 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 73, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 208, "fresh_scores": 203, "coverage_pct": 97.6, "seen": 203, "created": 7, "outcomes_created": 33, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 248, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,44%", "value": 0.43897149535343516 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 15,30 · 5D +2,5%", "value": 15.3 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 0, "max": 20, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200", "value": 770.190002 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,6% · TLT 20D -0,7%", "value": { "dxy": -0.645158284912839, "tlt": -0.6645758660083212 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 4, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,2% · HYG 5D -0,7%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -0.1658883786342824, "hyg5": -0.7273564265702581, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-07T22:27:27+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Tecnología lidera", "assets": { "SPY": { 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"symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": "202.183582", "invested": "2505.054580980000", "avg_buy_price": "12.3900000000000000", "name": "CaixaBank, S.A.", "last_price": "13.4600", "last_price_eur": 13.46, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 2721.39101372, "profit_pct": 8.635996771589994, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "VIGILAR", "weight": 5.520154262781426 } ], "total_value": 49299.1841200608, "buckets": { "Acciones": 72.44098413975284, "Europa": 27.559015860247147 }, "symbol_weights": { "SOL-EUR": 44.74534412325847, "ETH-EUR": 25.89924129037341, "NVD.DE": 11.387263347621252, "ADA-EUR": 1.796398726120962, "PTX.DE": 10.65159824984447, "CABK.MC": 5.520154262781426 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 44.74534412325847, "profit_pct": -32.746075159760856, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo 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11.203446490883787, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.6799871601653502 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": 202.183582, "current_eur": 13.515, "stop_eur": 11.870602000000005, "value_eur": 2732.51111073, "risk_eur": 332.47027787363504, "weight_pct": 5.460893604371802, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.6644382183678695 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1904, "stop_eur": 0.1456814256, "value_eur": 889.3466662192001, "risk_eur": 208.87770515081553, "weight_pct": 1.777349597062882, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.41743981192787044 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 75, "successes": 74, "errors": [ "SPCX: Histórico insuficiente" ], "featured": 0, "run_id": 198 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 71, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 208, "fresh_scores": 203, "coverage_pct": 97.6, "seen": 203, "created": 0, "outcomes_created": 3, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 239, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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"symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "-0.39", "last_price": "770.1900", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 15:00:32" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "0.18", "last_price": "718.9600", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 15:00:32" }, "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.17", "last_price": "82.2100", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 15:00:33" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "0.16", "last_price": "99.1570", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 15:00:33" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "1.47", "last_price": "14.5300", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 15:00:33" }, "IWM": { "symbol": "IWM", "last_change": "0.28", "last_price": "296.0100", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 15:00:35" }, "HYG": { "symbol": "HYG", "last_change": "-0.06", "last_price": "79.1600", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 15:00:35" }, "LQD": { "symbol": "LQD", "last_change": "-0.02", "last_price": "105.4800", 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"symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": "202.183582", "invested": "2505.054580980000", "avg_buy_price": "12.3900000000000000", "name": "CaixaBank, S.A.", "last_price": "13.5150", "last_price_eur": 13.515, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 2732.51111073, "profit_pct": 9.079903147699753, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER", "weight": 5.460893604371802 } ], "total_value": 50037.801662029204, "buckets": { "Acciones": 72.79388811551172, "Europa": 27.206111884488276 }, "symbol_weights": { "SOL-EUR": 45.346669938176944, "ETH-EUR": 25.669868580271892, "NVD.DE": 11.203446490883787, "ADA-EUR": 1.777349597062882, "PTX.DE": 10.541771789232689, "CABK.MC": 5.460893604371802 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 45.346669938176944, "profit_pct": -30.821096989020567, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo 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11.235114092783425, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.6847358028823847 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": 202.183582, "current_eur": 13.515, "stop_eur": 11.870602000000005, "value_eur": 2732.51111073, "risk_eur": 332.47027787363504, "weight_pct": 5.476329337011775, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.6663163158803894 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.189, "stop_eur": 0.1456814256, "value_eur": 882.807352497, "risk_eur": 202.33839142861547, "weight_pct": 1.7692677568353787, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.4055140579788067 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 75, "successes": 74, "errors": [ "SPCX: Histórico insuficiente" ], "featured": 1, "run_id": 195 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 68, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 208, "fresh_scores": 55, "coverage_pct": 26.4, "seen": 55, "created": 2, "outcomes_created": 11, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 239, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. Revisar no significa comprar.", "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 14, "market_regime_score": 86, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 86, "risk_score": 14, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 22, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,44%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 18, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 14,53 · 5D +0,7%" }, { "name": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 20, "max": 20, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200" }, { "name": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,4% · TLT 20D -0,7%" }, { "name": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 11, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,2% · HYG 5D -0,7%" } ], "formula": "Crédito HY 30 · VIX 20 · tendencia\/amplitud 20 · dólar\/tipos 15 · apetito 15", "risk": { "ok": true, "risk_score": 14, "risk_state": "NORMAL", "emoji": "🟢", "class": "good", "data_status": "FIABLE", "completeness": 100, "latest_dates": { "SPY": "2026-09-04", "QQQ": "2026-09-04", "IWM": "2026-09-04", "^VIX": "2026-09-04", "TLT": "2026-09-04", "HYG": "2026-09-04", "LQD": "2026-09-04", "DX-Y.NYB": "2026-09-04" }, "worst_age_days": 2, "high_yield_spread": null, "credit_state": "SANO", "indexa_profile": 7, "indexa_action": "MANTENER PERFIL 7", "action_text": "El mercado no muestra deterioro conjunto suficiente. No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,44%", "value": 0.43897149535343516 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 14,53 · 5D +0,7%", "value": 14.53 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 0, "max": 20, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200", "value": 770.190002 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,4% · TLT 20D -0,7%", "value": { "dxy": -0.441761053047407, "tlt": -0.6645758660083212 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 4, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,2% · HYG 5D -0,7%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -0.1658883786342824, "hyg5": -0.7273564265702581, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-06T11:23:20+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Tecnología lidera", "assets": { "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "-0.39", "last_price": "770.1900", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:22:59" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "0.18", "last_price": "718.9600", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:22:59" }, "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.17", "last_price": "82.2100", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:23:00" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "0.16", "last_price": "99.1570", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:23:00" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "1.47", "last_price": "14.5300", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:23:00" }, "IWM": { "symbol": "IWM", "last_change": "0.28", "last_price": "296.0100", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:23:02" }, "HYG": { "symbol": "HYG", "last_change": "-0.06", "last_price": "79.1600", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:23:02" }, "LQD": { "symbol": "LQD", "last_change": "-0.02", "last_price": "105.4800", "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:23:02" } }, "updated_at": "2026-09-06 11:23:02" }, "portfolio": { "positions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "quantity": "246.635617", "invested": "32799.705945610000", "avg_buy_price": "132.9885210602408654", "name": "Solana EUR", "last_price": "91.4300", "last_price_eur": 91.43, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 22549.89446231, "profit_pct": -31.24970540984946, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR", "weight": 45.19310026061582 }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "quantity": "5.964402", "invested": "18646.258965360000", "avg_buy_price": "3126.2579157742888558", "name": "Ethereum EUR", "last_price": "2154.5700", "last_price_eur": 2154.57, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 12850.72161714, "profit_pct": -31.08150197305869, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR", "weight": 25.754619447792216 }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "quantity": "28.105677", "invested": "5001.686278920000", "avg_buy_price": "177.9600000000000000", "name": "NVIDIA Corporation", "last_price": "199.4600", "last_price_eur": 199.46, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5605.95833442, "profit_pct": 12.081366599235777, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER", "weight": 11.235114092783421 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": "4670.938373", "invested": "4997.904059110000", "avg_buy_price": "1.0700000000000000", "name": "Cardano EUR", "last_price": "0.1890", "last_price_eur": 0.189, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 882.807352497, "profit_pct": -82.33644859813084, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "VIGILAR", "weight": 1.7692677568353785 }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": "34.882098", "invested": "4988.837655960000", "avg_buy_price": "143.0200000000000000", "name": "Palantir Technologies Inc.", "last_price": "151.2200", "last_price_eur": 151.22, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5274.87085956, "profit_pct": 5.73346385120963, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR", "weight": 10.571569104961368 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": "202.183582", "invested": "2505.054580980000", "avg_buy_price": "12.3900000000000000", "name": "CaixaBank, S.A.", "last_price": "13.5150", "last_price_eur": 13.515, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 2732.51111073, "profit_pct": 9.079903147699753, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER", "weight": 5.476329337011773 } ], "total_value": 49896.76373665701, "buckets": { "Acciones": 72.71698746524342, "Europa": 27.283012534756562 }, "symbol_weights": { "SOL-EUR": 45.19310026061582, "ETH-EUR": 25.754619447792216, "NVD.DE": 11.235114092783421, "ADA-EUR": 1.7692677568353785, "PTX.DE": 10.571569104961368, "CABK.MC": 5.476329337011773 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 45.19310026061582, "profit_pct": -31.24970540984946, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 25.754619447792216, "profit_pct": -31.08150197305869, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 11.235114092783421, "profit_pct": 12.081366599235777, "signal": "MANTENER" }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 10.571569104961368, "profit_pct": 5.73346385120963, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" } ], "warnings": [ "Acciones representa 72.7% y supera el límite de 35%." ] }, "opportunities": [ { "symbol": "DELL", "name": "Dell Technologies Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 93.5, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 93.47, "price": 524.14001465, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "HOOD", "name": "Robinhood Markets, Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 89.9, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 89.9, "price": 122.11000061, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "LOG.MC", "name": "Logista Integral, S.A.", "source": "SEÑAL CONFIRMADA", "action": "ESPERAR: SIN SETUP", "score": 83.8, "signal": "ENTRAR", "discovery_score": 39.78, "price": 35.28, "entry_low": 34.39383623640001, "entry_high": 36.97239005074999, "stop": 32.82254422560001, "bucket": "Europa", "reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "risk_reward": { "ok": true, "symbol": "LOG.MC", "current_price": 35.28, "planned_entry": 35.28, "entry_ready": true, "setup_valid": false, "setup_type": "SIN CONFLUENCIA", "setup_reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "stop": 32.82254422560001, "target_1": 35.720998987499996, "target_2": 36.602998962499996, "risk_pct": 6.965577591836704, "reward_pct_1": 1.249997130102027, "reward_pct_2": 3.7499970592403473, "rr_1": 0.17945347871323103, "rr_2": 0.5383612499895414, "win_probability": 87.5, "probability_samples": 24, "expectancy_r": 0.032021793874077165, "quality": "DÉBIL", "target_source": "RESISTENCIA TÉCNICA", "reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "probability_sources": [ { "source": "strategy_stats", "samples": 24, "winrate": 87.5, "avg_win": 6.39, "avg_loss": 0.77, "rr": 8.28 } ], "settings": { "min_reward_risk": "2.00", "excellent_reward_risk": "3.00", "min_probability_samples": 5, "min_expectancy_r": "0.0000", "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-08-02 14:54:19" } }, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } } ], "settings": { "capital_available": "1000.00", "max_position_pct": "10.00", "max_sector_pct": "35.00", "max_crypto_pct": "20.00", "risk_per_idea_pct": "1.00", "min_signal_score": "75.00", "min_discovery_score": "78.00", "max_daily_actions": 3, "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-07-21 19:53:42" } }, "integridad_6d": { "ok": false, "score": 62, "status": "CRITICO", "criticals": 1, "warnings": 3 } }
2026-09-05 22:30:02	manual	CORRECTO	15.321 s	31	31	0	Pasos { "cron_meta": { "ok": true, "origin": "manual", "sapi": "cgi-fcgi", "cron_query": false, "cron_header": false, "basic_auth": false, "host": "alpharadar.easymenorca.com", "https": false, "user_agent": "" }, "ohlc_diario": { "ok": true, "http": 301 }, "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 301 }, "credito_fred": { "ok": true, "http": 301, "fallback": "FRED" }, "riesgo_mercado": { "ok": true, "score": 14, "state": "NORMAL", "indexa": "MANTENER PERFIL 7" }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 31, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 301 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 14, "market_regime_score": 86, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 86, "risk_score": 14, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 22, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,44%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 18, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 14,53 · 5D +0,7%" }, { "name": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 20, "max": 20, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200" }, { "name": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -1,0% · TLT 20D -0,7%" }, { "name": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 11, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,2% · HYG 5D -0,7%" } ], "formula": "Crédito HY 30 · VIX 20 · tendencia\/amplitud 20 · dólar\/tipos 15 · apetito 15", "risk": { "ok": true, "risk_score": 14, "risk_state": "NORMAL", "emoji": "🟢", "class": "good", "data_status": "FIABLE", "completeness": 100, "latest_dates": { "SPY": "2026-09-04", "QQQ": "2026-09-04", "IWM": "2026-09-04", "^VIX": "2026-09-04", "TLT": "2026-09-04", "HYG": "2026-09-04", "LQD": "2026-09-04", "DX-Y.NYB": "2026-09-03" }, "worst_age_days": 2, "high_yield_spread": null, "credit_state": "SANO", "indexa_profile": 7, "indexa_action": "MANTENER PERFIL 7", "action_text": "El mercado no muestra deterioro conjunto suficiente. No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,44%", "value": 0.43897149535343516 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 14,53 · 5D +0,7%", "value": 14.53 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 0, "max": 20, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200", "value": 770.190002 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -1,0% · TLT 20D -0,7%", "value": { "dxy": -0.9702920779204538, "tlt": -0.6645758660083212 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 4, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,2% · HYG 5D -0,7%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -0.1658883786342824, "hyg5": -0.7273564265702581, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-05T22:30:10+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Tecnología lidera", "assets": { "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "-0.39", "last_price": "770.1900", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:23" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "0.18", "last_price": "718.9600", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:23" }, "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.17", "last_price": "82.2100", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:24" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "0.16", "last_price": "99.1570", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:24" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "1.47", "last_price": "14.5300", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:24" }, "IWM": { "symbol": "IWM", "last_change": "0.28", "last_price": "296.0100", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:26" }, "HYG": { "symbol": "HYG", "last_change": "-0.06", "last_price": "79.1600", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:26" }, "LQD": { "symbol": "LQD", "last_change": "-0.02", "last_price": "105.4800", "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:26" } }, "updated_at": "2026-09-05 09:06:26" }, "opportunities": 10, "threats": 10 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 1 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. 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2026-09-05 09:06:21	manual	ERROR	900.000 s	0	0	1	Pasos [] Ejecución interrumpida antes de finalizar.
2026-09-05 09:06:18	manual	ERROR	900.000 s	0	0	1	Pasos [] Ejecución interrumpida antes de finalizar.
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No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,79%", "value": 0.7866411908311388 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 14,32 · 5D -1,3%", "value": 14.32 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 4, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200", "value": 765.159973 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -1,0% · TLT 20D -1,3%", "value": { "dxy": -0.9702920779204538, "tlt": -1.2650638554216886 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 4, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,5% · HYG 5D -1,0%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -0.5221944992211291, "hyg5": -0.9887371467149686, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-04T09:16:45+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Sin narrativa dominante", "assets": { 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"excess_spy": -10.5618, "excess_qqq": -14.3329 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, QUALITY, pero ninguna personalidad supera aún todos los controles de robustez.", "production_applied": false }, "prospectiva_6a4": { "ok": true, "run_id": 93, "status": "CORRECTO", "source_run_id": 96, "seen": 0, "created": 0, "stale": 0, "normalized": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "calibracion_6b": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "candidates": 5, "waiting_next_open": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "rules_hash": "c082f00553a5e74b119c88b8572f78838692749232c0e8248b0e8400460de9be", "production_applied": false }, "riesgo_6c": { "ok": true, "created": 15, "evaluated": 15, "verdicts": { "SETUP INVALIDADO": 3, "ESPERAR PRECIO": 12 }, "heat": { "risk_eur": 12794.4993882196, "portfolio_value_eur": 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11.125052639962947, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.4914597555117997 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": 202.183582, "current_eur": 13.525, "stop_eur": 11.870602000000005, "value_eur": 2734.53294655, "risk_eur": 334.492113693635, "weight_pct": 5.528133170816693, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.6762094241429034 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1899, "stop_eur": 0.1456814256, "value_eur": 887.0111970327, "risk_eur": 206.54223596431552, "weight_pct": 1.7931822790391936, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.41754588740629894 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 75, "successes": 70, "errors": [ "EXAS: HTTP 404", "DAWN: HTTP 404", "AKRO: HTTP 404", "STM.PA: HTTP 404", "UNI-USD: Histórico insuficiente" ], "featured": 1, "run_id": 190 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 63, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 208, "fresh_scores": 65, "coverage_pct": 31.3, "seen": 65, "created": 1, "outcomes_created": 6, "errors": 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No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,79%", "value": 0.7866411908311388 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 15,20 · 5D -0,1%", "value": 15.2 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 4, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200", "value": 765.159973 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -1,0% · TLT 20D -1,3%", "value": { "dxy": -0.9702920779204538, "tlt": -1.2650638554216886 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 4, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -0,5% · HYG 5D -1,0%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -0.5221944992211291, "hyg5": -0.9887371467149686, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-04T07:57:27+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Sin narrativa dominante", "assets": { 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"status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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11.438402954585598, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.481599544860792 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": 202.183582, "current_eur": 13.215, "stop_eur": 11.870602000000005, "value_eur": 2671.85603613, "risk_eur": 271.8152032736349, "weight_pct": 5.582645276270306, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.5679377331916168 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1769, "stop_eur": 0.1456814256, "value_eur": 826.2889981837, "risk_eur": 145.82003711531547, "weight_pct": 1.7264696563613486, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.30468016628863315 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 75, "successes": 71, "errors": [ "DAWN: HTTP 404", "AKRO: HTTP 404", "STM.PA: HTTP 404", "UNI-USD: Histórico insuficiente" ], "featured": 1, "run_id": 187 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 60, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 208, "fresh_scores": 125, "coverage_pct": 60.1, "seen": 125, "created": 3, "outcomes_created": 12, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 230, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. Revisar no significa comprar.", "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 23, "market_regime_score": 77, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 77, "risk_score": 23, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 22, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,88%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 18, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 16,34 · 5D +5,8%" }, { "name": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 14, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles" }, { "name": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,1% · TLT 20D -1,1%" }, { "name": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 8, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -1,0% · HYG 5D -1,0%" } ], "formula": "Crédito HY 30 · VIX 20 · tendencia\/amplitud 20 · dólar\/tipos 15 · apetito 15", "risk": { "ok": true, "risk_score": 23, "risk_state": "NORMAL", "emoji": "🟢", "class": "good", "data_status": "FIABLE", "completeness": 100, "latest_dates": { "SPY": "2026-09-01", "QQQ": "2026-09-01", "IWM": "2026-09-01", "^VIX": "2026-09-01", "TLT": "2026-09-01", "HYG": "2026-09-01", "LQD": "2026-09-01", "DX-Y.NYB": "2026-09-02" }, "worst_age_days": 2, "high_yield_spread": null, "credit_state": "SANO", "indexa_profile": 7, "indexa_action": "MANTENER PERFIL 7", "action_text": "El mercado no muestra deterioro conjunto suficiente. No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,88%", "value": 0.876800507759512 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 16,34 · 5D +5,8%", "value": 16.34 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 6, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles", "value": 761.780029 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,1% · TLT 20D -1,1%", "value": { "dxy": -0.13040826300717567, "tlt": -1.1470623037913463 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 7, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -1,0% · HYG 5D -1,0%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -1.0012893453837601, "hyg5": -1.0260260517023667, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-03T08:48:05+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Sin narrativa dominante", "assets": { "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "0.44", "last_price": "765.1600", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:39" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "0.23", "last_price": "709.2400", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:39" }, "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.10", "last_price": "81.9500", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:40" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "-0.25", "last_price": "99.3120", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:40" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "-6.98", "last_price": "15.2000", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:40" }, "IWM": { "symbol": "IWM", "last_change": "1.18", "last_price": "294.0100", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:42" }, "HYG": { "symbol": "HYG", "last_change": "0.01", "last_price": "79.1100", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:42" }, "LQD": { "symbol": "LQD", "last_change": "0.12", "last_price": "105.3500", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:42" } }, "updated_at": "2026-09-03 08:47:42" }, "portfolio": { "positions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "quantity": "246.635617", "invested": "32799.705945610000", "avg_buy_price": "132.9885210602408654", "name": "Solana EUR", "last_price": "86.9800", "last_price_eur": 86.98, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 21452.36596666, "profit_pct": -34.59585887070662, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR", "weight": 44.82312965561642 }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "quantity": "5.964402", "invested": "18646.258965360000", "avg_buy_price": "3126.2579157742888558", "name": "Ethereum EUR", "last_price": "2075.8800", "last_price_eur": 2075.88, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 12381.382823760001, "profit_pct": -33.598568770489265, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR", "weight": 25.869982289493006 }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "quantity": "28.105677", "invested": "5001.686278920000", "avg_buy_price": "177.9600000000000000", "name": "NVIDIA Corporation", "last_price": "194.7800", "last_price_eur": 194.78, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5474.42376606, "profit_pct": 9.451562148797477, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER", "weight": 11.4384029545856 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": "4670.938373", "invested": "4997.904059110000", "avg_buy_price": "1.0700000000000000", "name": "Cardano EUR", "last_price": "0.1769", "last_price_eur": 0.1769, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 826.2889981837, "profit_pct": -83.46728971962617, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "VIGILAR", "weight": 1.7264696563613489 }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": "34.882098", "invested": "4988.837655960000", "avg_buy_price": "143.0200000000000000", "name": "Palantir Technologies Inc.", "last_price": "144.8800", "last_price_eur": 144.88, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5053.718358239999, "profit_pct": 1.300517410152402, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR", "weight": 10.55937016767334 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": "202.183582", "invested": "2505.054580980000", "avg_buy_price": "12.3900000000000000", "name": "CaixaBank, S.A.", "last_price": "13.2150", "last_price_eur": 13.215, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 2671.85603613, "profit_pct": 6.658595641646481, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER", "weight": 5.5826452762703065 } ], "total_value": 47860.03594903369, "buckets": { "Acciones": 72.41958160147077, "Europa": 27.580418398529247 }, "symbol_weights": { "SOL-EUR": 44.82312965561642, "ETH-EUR": 25.869982289493006, "NVD.DE": 11.4384029545856, "ADA-EUR": 1.7264696563613489, "PTX.DE": 10.55937016767334, "CABK.MC": 5.5826452762703065 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 44.82312965561642, "profit_pct": -34.59585887070662, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 25.869982289493006, "profit_pct": -33.598568770489265, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 11.4384029545856, "profit_pct": 9.451562148797477, "signal": "MANTENER" }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 10.55937016767334, "profit_pct": 1.300517410152402, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" } ], "warnings": [ "Acciones representa 72.4% y supera el límite de 35%." ] }, "opportunities": [ { "symbol": "CRM", "name": "Salesforce, Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 96.5, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 96.51, "price": 256.92999268, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Tech\/Growth", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "SRPT", "name": "Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 92.7, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 92.74, "price": 23.20999908, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "LOG.MC", "name": "Logista Integral, S.A.", "source": "SEÑAL CONFIRMADA", "action": "ESPERAR: SIN SETUP", "score": 84.3, "signal": "ENTRAR", "discovery_score": 44.71, "price": 35.38, "entry_low": 34.39383623640001, "entry_high": 36.97239005074999, "stop": 32.82254422560001, "bucket": "Europa", "reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "risk_reward": { "ok": true, "symbol": "LOG.MC", "current_price": 35.38, "planned_entry": 35.38, "entry_ready": true, "setup_valid": false, "setup_type": "SIN CONFLUENCIA", "setup_reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "stop": 32.82254422560001, "target_1": 35.8222510125, "target_2": 36.7067510375, "risk_pct": 7.228535258338016, "reward_pct_1": 1.2500028617863046, "reward_pct_2": 3.7500029324476984, "rr_1": 0.17292616237078504, "rr_2": 0.5187777050851514, "win_probability": 87.5, "probability_samples": 24, "expectancy_r": 0.026310392074436917, "quality": "DÉBIL", "target_source": "RESISTENCIA TÉCNICA", "reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "probability_sources": [ { "source": "strategy_stats", "samples": 24, "winrate": 87.5, "avg_win": 6.39, "avg_loss": 0.77, "rr": 8.28 } ], "settings": { "min_reward_risk": "2.00", "excellent_reward_risk": "3.00", "min_probability_samples": 5, "min_expectancy_r": "0.0000", "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-08-02 14:54:19" } }, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } } ], "settings": { "capital_available": "1000.00", "max_position_pct": "10.00", "max_sector_pct": "35.00", "max_crypto_pct": "20.00", "risk_per_idea_pct": "1.00", "min_signal_score": "75.00", "min_discovery_score": "78.00", "max_daily_actions": 3, "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-07-21 19:53:42" } }, "integridad_6d": { "ok": false, "score": 72, "status": "CRITICO", "criticals": 0, "warnings": 4 } }
2026-09-03 07:40:02	manual	CORRECTO	21.306 s	31	31	0	Pasos { "cron_meta": { "ok": true, "origin": "manual", "sapi": "litespeed", "cron_query": false, "cron_header": false, "basic_auth": false, "host": "alpharadar.easymenorca.com", "https": true, "user_agent": "Mozilla\/5.0 (Linux; Android 10; K) AppleWebKit\/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko) Chrome\/152.0.0.0 Mobile Safari\/537.36" }, "ohlc_diario": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "credito_fred": { "ok": false, "http": 502, "fallback": "HYG\/LQD" }, "riesgo_mercado": { "ok": true, "score": 23, "state": "NORMAL", "indexa": "MANTENER PERFIL 7" }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 31, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 23, "market_regime_score": 77, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 77, "risk_score": 23, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 22, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,88%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 18, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 16,34 · 5D +5,8%" }, { "name": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 14, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles" }, { "name": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,1% · TLT 20D -1,1%" }, { "name": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 8, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -1,0% · HYG 5D -1,0%" } ], "formula": "Crédito HY 30 · VIX 20 · tendencia\/amplitud 20 · dólar\/tipos 15 · apetito 15", "risk": { "ok": true, "risk_score": 23, "risk_state": "NORMAL", "emoji": "🟢", "class": "good", "data_status": "FIABLE", "completeness": 100, "latest_dates": { "SPY": "2026-09-01", "QQQ": "2026-09-01", "IWM": "2026-09-01", "^VIX": "2026-09-01", "TLT": "2026-09-01", "HYG": "2026-09-01", "LQD": "2026-09-01", "DX-Y.NYB": "2026-09-02" }, "worst_age_days": 2, "high_yield_spread": null, "credit_state": "SANO", "indexa_profile": 7, "indexa_action": "MANTENER PERFIL 7", "action_text": "El mercado no muestra deterioro conjunto suficiente. No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,88%", "value": 0.876800507759512 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 16,34 · 5D +5,8%", "value": 16.34 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 6, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles", "value": 761.780029 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,1% · TLT 20D -1,1%", "value": { "dxy": -0.13040826300717567, "tlt": -1.1470623037913463 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 7, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -1,0% · HYG 5D -1,0%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -1.0012893453837601, "hyg5": -1.0260260517023667, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-03T07:40:17+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Sin narrativa dominante", "assets": { "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "0.44", "last_price": "765.1600", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:03" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "0.23", "last_price": "709.2400", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:04" }, "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.10", "last_price": "81.9500", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:04" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "-0.17", "last_price": "99.3880", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:04" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "-6.98", "last_price": "15.2000", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:05" }, "IWM": { "symbol": "IWM", "last_change": "1.18", "last_price": "294.0100", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:06" }, "HYG": { "symbol": "HYG", "last_change": "0.01", "last_price": "79.1100", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:07" }, "LQD": { "symbol": "LQD", "last_change": "0.12", "last_price": "105.3500", "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:07" } }, "updated_at": "2026-09-03 07:40:07" }, "opportunities": 10, "threats": 10 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 1 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. 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No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,88%", "value": 0.876800507759512 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 16,34 · 5D +5,8%", "value": 16.34 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 6, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles", "value": 761.780029 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,1% · TLT 20D -1,1%", "value": { "dxy": -0.13040826300717567, "tlt": -1.1470623037913463 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 7, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D -1,0% · HYG 5D -1,0%", "value": { "qqq_spy": -1.0012893453837601, "hyg5": -1.0260260517023667, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-03T07:40:23+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Sin narrativa 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"excess_spy": -0.6708, "excess_qqq": 0.6601 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 1, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." }, "volatile": { "aggregate": { "operations": 31, "win_rate": 41.94, "average_return": 1.1184, "average_return_ci_low": -5.9169, "average_return_ci_high": 8.1537, "win_rate_ci_low": 26.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 59.23, "average_win": 18.8978, "average_loss": 11.7223, "reward_risk": 1.612, "portfolio_return": 2.4482, "max_drawdown": 10.1269, "excess_spy": -1.5199, "excess_qqq": -2.4872 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 37.5, "average_return": 5.0584, "average_return_ci_low": -12.7081, "average_return_ci_high": 22.825, "win_rate_ci_low": 13.68, "win_rate_ci_high": 69.43, "average_win": 29.5867, "average_loss": 9.6586, "reward_risk": 3.063, "portfolio_return": 3.7692, "max_drawdown": 4.2773, "excess_spy": 2.2309, "excess_qqq": 1.4969 }, { "operations": 10, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": 3.3527, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2597, "average_return_ci_high": 16.9651, "win_rate_ci_low": 16.82, "win_rate_ci_high": 68.73, "average_win": 24.894, "average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7054, "average_return_ci_low": -22.2098, "average_return_ci_high": 10.799, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.7961, "reward_risk": 0.699, "portfolio_return": -3.0005, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.5618, 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"headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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"excess_qqq": -14.3329 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, QUALITY, pero ninguna personalidad supera aún todos los controles de robustez.", "production_applied": false }, "prospectiva_6a4": { "ok": true, "run_id": 85, "status": "CORRECTO", "source_run_id": 88, "seen": 1, "created": 0, "stale": 0, "normalized": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "calibracion_6b": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "candidates": 5, "waiting_next_open": 1, "outcomes_created": 0, "rules_hash": "c082f00553a5e74b119c88b8572f78838692749232c0e8248b0e8400460de9be", "production_applied": false }, "riesgo_6c": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "evaluated": 12, "verdicts": { "SETUP INVALIDADO": 3, "ESPERAR PRECIO": 9 }, "heat": { "risk_eur": 10899.676308213096, "portfolio_value_eur": 47570.93438375619, 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"status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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"risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } } ], "settings": { "capital_available": "1000.00", "max_position_pct": "10.00", "max_sector_pct": "35.00", "max_crypto_pct": "20.00", "risk_per_idea_pct": "1.00", "min_signal_score": "75.00", "min_discovery_score": "78.00", "max_daily_actions": 3, "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-07-21 19:53:42" } }, "integridad_6d": { "ok": false, "score": 56, "status": "CRITICO", "criticals": 1, "warnings": 4 } }
2026-09-02 08:47:14	manual	ERROR	900.000 s	0	0	1	Pasos [] Ejecución interrumpida antes de finalizar.
2026-09-02 08:08:14	manual	CORRECTO	21.603 s	31	31	0	Pasos { "cron_meta": { "ok": true, "origin": "manual", "sapi": "litespeed", "cron_query": false, "cron_header": false, "basic_auth": false, "host": "alpharadar.easymenorca.com", "https": true, "user_agent": "Mozilla\/5.0 (Linux; Android 10; K) AppleWebKit\/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko) Chrome\/152.0.0.0 Mobile Safari\/537.36" }, "ohlc_diario": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "credito_fred": { "ok": false, "http": 502, "fallback": "HYG\/LQD" }, "riesgo_mercado": { "ok": true, "score": 16, "state": "NORMAL", "indexa": "MANTENER PERFIL 7" }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 31, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "RISK OFF", "market_risk": 16, "market_regime_score": 84, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 84, "risk_score": 16, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 22, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,54%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 18, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 15,82 · 5D +2,4%" }, { "name": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 14, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles" }, { "name": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,2% · TLT 20D +0,4%" }, { "name": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D 1,1% · HYG 5D +0,1%" } ], "formula": "Crédito HY 30 · VIX 20 · tendencia\/amplitud 20 · dólar\/tipos 15 · apetito 15", "risk": { "ok": true, "risk_score": 16, "risk_state": "NORMAL", "emoji": "🟢", "class": "good", "data_status": "FIABLE", "completeness": 100, "latest_dates": { "SPY": "2026-08-31", "QQQ": "2026-08-31", "IWM": "2026-08-31", "^VIX": "2026-09-01", "TLT": "2026-08-31", "HYG": "2026-08-31", "LQD": "2026-08-31", "DX-Y.NYB": "2026-09-01" }, "worst_age_days": 2, "high_yield_spread": null, "credit_state": "SANO", "indexa_profile": 7, "indexa_action": "MANTENER PERFIL 7", "action_text": "El mercado no muestra deterioro conjunto suficiente. 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"average_return": 3.3527, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2597, "average_return_ci_high": 16.9651, "win_rate_ci_low": 16.82, "win_rate_ci_high": 68.73, "average_win": 24.894, "average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7054, "average_return_ci_low": -22.2098, "average_return_ci_high": 10.799, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.7961, "reward_risk": 0.699, "portfolio_return": -3.0005, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.5618, "excess_qqq": -14.3329 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, QUALITY, pero ninguna personalidad supera aún todos los controles de robustez.", "production_applied": false }, "prospectiva_6a4": { "ok": true, "run_id": 82, "status": "CORRECTO", "source_run_id": 85, "seen": 1, "created": 0, "stale": 0, "normalized": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "calibracion_6b": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "candidates": 5, "waiting_next_open": 1, "outcomes_created": 0, "rules_hash": "c082f00553a5e74b119c88b8572f78838692749232c0e8248b0e8400460de9be", "production_applied": false }, "riesgo_6c": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "evaluated": 12, "verdicts": { "SETUP INVALIDADO": 3, "ESPERAR PRECIO": 9 }, "heat": { "risk_eur": 11297.723288387699, "portfolio_value_eur": 47968.9813639308, 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11.062048154289124, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.1278582762191076 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": 202.183582, "current_eur": 13.08, "stop_eur": 11.870602000000005, "value_eur": 2644.56125256, "risk_eur": 244.52041970363496, "weight_pct": 5.513065271276572, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.5097469505314461 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1696, "stop_eur": 0.1456814256, "value_eur": 792.1911480608, "risk_eur": 111.72218699241546, "weight_pct": 1.6514654377390434, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.2329050645140913 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 75, "successes": 73, "errors": [ "SPCX: Histórico insuficiente", "EXAS: HTTP 404" ], "featured": 0, "run_id": 179 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 52, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 208, "fresh_scores": 186, "coverage_pct": 89.4, "seen": 186, "created": 2, "outcomes_created": 4, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 219, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. Revisar no significa comprar.", "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "RISK OFF", "market_risk": 16, "market_regime_score": 84, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 84, "risk_score": 16, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 22, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,54%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 18, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 15,82 · 5D +2,4%" }, { "name": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 14, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles" }, { "name": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,3% · TLT 20D +0,4%" }, { "name": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 15, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D 1,1% · HYG 5D +0,1%" } ], "formula": "Crédito HY 30 · VIX 20 · tendencia\/amplitud 20 · dólar\/tipos 15 · apetito 15", "risk": { "ok": true, "risk_score": 16, "risk_state": "NORMAL", "emoji": "🟢", "class": "good", "data_status": "FIABLE", "completeness": 100, "latest_dates": { "SPY": "2026-08-31", "QQQ": "2026-08-31", "IWM": "2026-08-31", "^VIX": "2026-09-01", "TLT": "2026-08-31", "HYG": "2026-08-31", "LQD": "2026-08-31", "DX-Y.NYB": "2026-09-01" }, "worst_age_days": 1, "high_yield_spread": null, "credit_state": "SANO", "indexa_profile": 7, "indexa_action": "MANTENER PERFIL 7", "action_text": "El mercado no muestra deterioro conjunto suficiente. No tocar Indexa por ruido diario.", "factors": { "credit": { "label": "Crédito HYG\/LQD (proxy)", "points": 8, "max": 30, "detail": "HYG relativo 20D +0,54%", "value": 0.5361976007423719 }, "volatility": { "label": "VIX", "points": 2, "max": 20, "detail": "Nivel 15,82 · 5D +2,4%", "value": 15.82 }, "trend": { "label": "Tendencia y amplitud", "points": 6, "max": 20, "detail": "<SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200 · small caps débiles", "value": 767.049988 }, "rates_dollar": { "label": "Dólar y tipos", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "DXY 20D -0,3% · TLT 20D +0,4%", "value": { "dxy": -0.3093382751961027, "tlt": 0.40150260611990785 } }, "risk_appetite": { "label": "Liquidez y apetito por riesgo", "points": 0, "max": 15, "detail": "QQQ vs SPY 20D 1,1% · HYG 5D +0,1%", "value": { "qqq_spy": 1.1460410344953154, "hyg5": 0.1380188257723569, "nfci": null } } }, "rules_version": "risk-engine-7.0-credit-first", "captured_at": "2026-09-01T21:41:08+02:00" } }, "dominant_narrative": "Mercado amplio resiste 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"avg_buy_price": "177.9600000000000000", "name": "NVIDIA Corporation", "last_price": "188.8000", "last_price_eur": 188.8, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5306.351817600001, "profit_pct": 6.091256462126315, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER", "weight": 11.062048154289123 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": "4670.938373", "invested": "4997.904059110000", "avg_buy_price": "1.0700000000000000", "name": "Cardano EUR", "last_price": "0.1696", "last_price_eur": 0.1696, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 792.1911480608, "profit_pct": -84.14953271028037, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "VIGILAR", "weight": 1.6514654377390432 }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": "34.882098", "invested": "4988.837655960000", "avg_buy_price": "143.0200000000000000", "name": "Palantir Technologies Inc.", "last_price": "158.5800", "last_price_eur": 158.58, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5531.6031008400005, "profit_pct": 10.879597259124596, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR", "weight": 11.531625111804782 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": "202.183582", "invested": "2505.054580980000", "avg_buy_price": "12.3900000000000000", "name": "CaixaBank, S.A.", "last_price": "13.0800", "last_price_eur": 13.08, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 2644.56125256, "profit_pct": 5.56900726392251, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "MANTENER", "weight": 5.513065271276572 } ], "total_value": 47968.981363930805, "buckets": { "Acciones": 71.89326146262952, "Europa": 28.106738537370475 }, "symbol_weights": { "SOL-EUR": 44.304862251818435, "ETH-EUR": 25.936933773072035, "NVD.DE": 11.062048154289123, "ADA-EUR": 1.6514654377390432, "PTX.DE": 11.531625111804782, "CABK.MC": 5.513065271276572 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 44.304862251818435, "profit_pct": -35.20493399504242, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 25.936933773072035, "profit_pct": -33.27517894558112, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 11.062048154289123, "profit_pct": 6.091256462126315, "signal": "MANTENER" }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 11.531625111804782, "profit_pct": 10.879597259124596, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" } ], "warnings": [ "Acciones representa 71.9% y supera el límite de 35%." ] }, "opportunities": [ { "symbol": "CRM", "name": "Salesforce, Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 96.2, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 96.24, "price": 255.36999512, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Tech\/Growth", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "LOG.MC", "name": "Logista Integral, S.A.", "source": "SEÑAL CONFIRMADA", "action": "ESPERAR: SIN SETUP", "score": 84.5, "signal": "ENTRAR", "discovery_score": 46.88, "price": 35.94, "entry_low": 34.39383623640001, "entry_high": 36.97239005074999, "stop": 32.82254422560001, "bucket": "Europa", "reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "risk_reward": { "ok": true, "symbol": "LOG.MC", "current_price": 35.94, "planned_entry": 35.94, "entry_ready": true, "setup_valid": false, "setup_type": "SIN CONFLUENCIA", "setup_reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "stop": 32.82254422560001, "target_1": 36.3892489875, "target_2": 37.287748962500004, "risk_pct": 8.674056133555887, "reward_pct_1": 1.2499971828046716, "reward_pct_2": 3.749997113244313, "rr_1": 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41.94, "average_return": 1.1094, "average_return_ci_low": -5.9304, "average_return_ci_high": 8.1492, "win_rate_ci_low": 26.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 59.23, "average_win": 18.8978, "average_loss": 11.7378, "reward_risk": 1.61, "portfolio_return": 2.4177, "max_drawdown": 10.1269, "excess_spy": -1.5289, "excess_qqq": -2.4963 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 37.5, "average_return": 5.0584, "average_return_ci_low": -12.7081, "average_return_ci_high": 22.825, "win_rate_ci_low": 13.68, "win_rate_ci_high": 69.43, "average_win": 29.5867, "average_loss": 9.6586, "reward_risk": 3.063, "portfolio_return": 3.7692, "max_drawdown": 4.2773, "excess_spy": 2.2309, "excess_qqq": 1.4969 }, { "operations": 10, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": 3.3527, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2597, "average_return_ci_high": 16.9651, "win_rate_ci_low": 16.82, "win_rate_ci_high": 68.73, "average_win": 24.894, "average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, pero ninguna personalidad 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0.5296481583758801 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1713, "stop_eur": 0.1456814256, "value_eur": 800.1317432949, "risk_eur": 119.6627822265155, "weight_pct": 1.625608974284538, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.24311607970237095 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "CORRECTO", "processed": 75, "successes": 75, "errors": [], "featured": 2, "run_id": 175 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 47, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 206, "fresh_scores": 188, "coverage_pct": 91.3, "seen": 188, "created": 6, "outcomes_created": 2, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 215, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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Señal ENTRAR\/COMPRAR\/COMPRAR POCO A POCO, convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 6, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 0 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 80, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 28, "complete": 27, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-03-17", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, 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"excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, pero ninguna personalidad 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"excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, pero ninguna personalidad 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Señal ENTRAR\/COMPRAR\/COMPRAR POCO A POCO, convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 6, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 1 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 77, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 28, "complete": 27, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-03-17", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, 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"excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, pero ninguna personalidad 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"portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja 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"portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja 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Señal ENTRAR\/COMPRAR\/COMPRAR POCO A POCO, convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 6, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 0 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 62, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 28, "complete": 27, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-03-06", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, 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}, "trend": { "aggregate": { "operations": 35, "win_rate": 62.86, "average_return": 1.2168, "average_return_ci_low": 0.0418, "average_return_ci_high": 2.3918, "win_rate_ci_low": 46.34, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.83, "average_win": 3.4251, "average_loss": 2.5202, "reward_risk": 1.359, "portfolio_return": 4.2794, "max_drawdown": 2.9577, "excess_spy": -0.3711, "excess_qqq": -0.2067 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 9, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 4.5166, "average_return_ci_low": 2.9021, "average_return_ci_high": 6.1311, "win_rate_ci_low": 70.08, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 4.5166, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 4.1092, "max_drawdown": 0.7758, "excess_spy": 0.1782, "excess_qqq": -0.6268 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 60, "average_return": 0.9413, "average_return_ci_low": -1.4245, "average_return_ci_high": 3.307, "win_rate_ci_low": 23.07, "win_rate_ci_high": 88.24, "average_win": 2.8443, "average_loss": 1.9133, "reward_risk": 1.487, 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2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en 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}, "trend": { "aggregate": { "operations": 35, "win_rate": 62.86, "average_return": 1.2168, "average_return_ci_low": 0.0418, "average_return_ci_high": 2.3918, "win_rate_ci_low": 46.34, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.83, "average_win": 3.4251, "average_loss": 2.5202, "reward_risk": 1.359, "portfolio_return": 4.2794, "max_drawdown": 2.9577, "excess_spy": -0.3711, "excess_qqq": -0.2067 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 9, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 4.5166, "average_return_ci_low": 2.9021, "average_return_ci_high": 6.1311, "win_rate_ci_low": 70.08, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 4.5166, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 4.1092, "max_drawdown": 0.7758, "excess_spy": 0.1782, "excess_qqq": -0.6268 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 60, "average_return": 0.9413, "average_return_ci_low": -1.4245, "average_return_ci_high": 3.307, "win_rate_ci_low": 23.07, "win_rate_ci_high": 88.24, "average_win": 2.8443, "average_loss": 1.9133, "reward_risk": 1.487, 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2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en 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MOMENTUM, pero ninguna personalidad supera aún todos los controles de robustez.", "production_applied": false }, "prospectiva_6a4": { "ok": true, "run_id": 51, "status": "CORRECTO", "source_run_id": 54, "seen": 0, "created": 0, "stale": 0, "normalized": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "calibracion_6b": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "candidates": 2, "waiting_next_open": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "rules_hash": "c082f00553a5e74b119c88b8572f78838692749232c0e8248b0e8400460de9be", "production_applied": false }, "riesgo_6c": { "ok": true, "created": 6, "evaluated": 6, "verdicts": { "SETUP INVALIDADO": 3, "ESPERAR PRECIO": 3 }, "heat": { "risk_eur": 7737.257802938606, "portfolio_value_eur": 43879.955034766, "heat_pct": 17.63278425606497, "unknown": 0, "positions": 6, "new_capital_eur": 1000, "details": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "quantity": 246.635617, "current_eur": 74.91, "stop_eur": 62.525290509999984, "value_eur": 18475.474069469998, "risk_eur": 3054.5104664319083, "weight_pct": 42.104587515716275, "risk_pct_portfolio": 6.961061067660225 }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "quantity": 5.964402, "current_eur": 1942.88, "stop_eur": 1512.6617052187996, "value_eur": 11588.11735776, "risk_eur": 2565.9948578295816, "weight_pct": 26.408681022072056, "risk_pct_portfolio": 5.847760909956606 }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": 34.882098, "current_eur": 149.38, "stop_eur": 111.59003166160001, "value_eur": 5210.68779924, "risk_eur": 1318.1933789969655, "weight_pct": 11.874870416598155, "risk_pct_portfolio": 3.00409008612831 }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "quantity": 28.105677, "current_eur": 186.72, "stop_eur": 169.1157766016001, "value_eur": 5247.89200944, "risk_eur": 494.7786166712702, "weight_pct": 11.959656761913513, "risk_pct_portfolio": 1.12757320803829 }, { "symbol": "CABK.MC", "quantity": 202.183582, "current_eur": 12.865, "stop_eur": 11.817962000000007, "value_eur": 2601.09178243, "risk_eur": 211.6938933301147, "weight_pct": 5.927744867489404, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.4824387198263764 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.162, "stop_eur": 0.1422852056, "value_eur": 756.692016426, "risk_eur": 92.08658967876558, "weight_pct": 1.724459416210601, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.20986026445516082 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 75, "successes": 73, "errors": [ "UNI-USD: Histórico insuficiente", "STM.PA: HTTP 404" ], "featured": 1, "run_id": 144 }, "precursor_6h": { "ok": true, "run_id": 16, "status": "CORRECTO", "universe_total": 176, "fresh_scores": 71, "coverage_pct": 40.3, "seen": 71, "created": 3, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 178, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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"quantity": "5.964402", "invested": "18646.258965360000", "avg_buy_price": "3126.2579157742888558", "name": "Ethereum EUR", "last_price": "1942.8800", "last_price_eur": 1942.88, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 11588.11735776, "profit_pct": -37.8528562791723, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "VIGILAR", "weight": 26.408681022072056 }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "quantity": "28.105677", "invested": "5001.686278920000", "avg_buy_price": "177.9600000000000000", "name": "NVIDIA Corporation", "last_price": "186.7200", "last_price_eur": 186.72, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5247.89200944, "profit_pct": 4.922454484153738, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "ENTRAR", "weight": 11.959656761913513 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": "4670.938373", "invested": "4997.904059110000", "avg_buy_price": "1.0700000000000000", "name": "Cardano EUR", "last_price": "0.1620", "last_price_eur": 0.162, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 756.692016426, "profit_pct": -84.85981308411215, 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42.104587515716275, "ETH-EUR": 26.408681022072056, "NVD.DE": 11.959656761913513, "ADA-EUR": 1.724459416210601, "PTX.DE": 11.874870416598155, "CABK.MC": 5.927744867489404 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 42.104587515716275, "profit_pct": -43.67183016790794, "signal": "VIGILAR" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 26.408681022072056, "profit_pct": -37.8528562791723, "signal": "VIGILAR" }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 11.959656761913513, "profit_pct": 4.922454484153738, "signal": "ENTRAR" }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 11.874870416598155, "profit_pct": 4.446930499230861, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" } ], "warnings": [ "Acciones representa 70.2% y supera el límite de 35%." ] }, "opportunities": [ { "symbol": "LINK-USD", "name": "Chainlink USD", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 93.1, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 93.06, "price": 10.77499962, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Cripto", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "LOG.MC", "name": "Logista Integral, S.A.", "source": "SEÑAL CONFIRMADA", "action": "ESPERAR: SIN SETUP", "score": 84.8, "signal": "ENTRAR", "discovery_score": 62.37, "price": 36.06, "entry_low": 34.22993221670001, "entry_high": 36.63338005074999, "stop": 32.6661282068, "bucket": "Europa", "reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "risk_reward": { "ok": true, "symbol": "LOG.MC", "current_price": 36.06, "planned_entry": 36.06, "entry_ready": true, "setup_valid": false, "setup_type": "SIN CONFLUENCIA", "setup_reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "stop": 32.6661282068, "target_1": 36.632250000000006, "target_2": 37.536750000000005, "risk_pct": 9.411735422074317, "reward_pct_1": 1.5869384359401106, "reward_pct_2": 4.095257903494184, "rr_1": 0.16861273344107183, "rr_2": 0.4351225060884257, "win_probability": 87.5, "probability_samples": 24, "expectancy_r": 0.02253614176093785, "quality": "DÉBIL", "target_source": "RESISTENCIA TÉCNICA", "reason": "Hay tendencia, pero no suficientes elementos coincidentes para clasificar una entrada fiable.", "probability_sources": [ { "source": "strategy_stats", "samples": 24, "winrate": 87.5, "avg_win": 6.39, "avg_loss": 0.77, "rr": 8.28 } ], "settings": { "min_reward_risk": "2.00", "excellent_reward_risk": "3.00", "min_probability_samples": 5, "min_expectancy_r": "0.0000", "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-08-02 14:54:19" } }, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "SDGR", "name": "Schrödinger, Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 84.3, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 84.31, "price": 19.85000038, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } } ], "settings": { "capital_available": "1000.00", "max_position_pct": "10.00", "max_sector_pct": "35.00", "max_crypto_pct": "20.00", "risk_per_idea_pct": "1.00", "min_signal_score": "75.00", "min_discovery_score": "78.00", "max_daily_actions": 3, "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-07-21 19:53:42" } }, "integridad_6d": { "ok": true, "score": 85, "status": "ATENCION", "criticals": 0, "warnings": 2 } }
2026-08-19 23:20:11	manual	CORRECTO	20.435 s	27	27	0	Pasos { "cron_meta": { "ok": true, "origin": "manual", "sapi": "litespeed", "cron_query": false, "cron_header": false, "basic_auth": false, "host": "alpharadar.easymenorca.com", "https": true, "user_agent": "Mozilla\/5.0 (Linux; Android 10; K) AppleWebKit\/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko) Chrome\/151.0.0.0 Mobile Safari\/537.36" }, "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 27, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 28, "market_regime_score": 81, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 81, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "SPY", "points": 30, "max": 30, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200" }, { "name": "QQQ", "points": 16, "max": 20, "detail": "Relativo 20D vs SPY +0.7%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 25, "max": 25, "detail": "Normal · 14.89" }, { "name": "TLT", "points": 2, "max": 15, "detail": "20D -3.0%" }, { "name": "DXY", "points": 8, "max": 10, "detail": "20D -1.2%" } ], "formula": "SPY 30 · QQQ 20 · VIX 25 · TLT 15 · DXY 10" }, "dominant_narrative": "Mercado amplio lidera", "assets": { "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "-0.85", "last_price": "98.8000", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 23:20:12" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "-0.20", "last_price": "716.0800", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 23:20:12" }, "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "0.21", "last_price": "769.0600", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 23:20:11" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "1.67", "last_price": "83.0200", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 23:20:12" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "-6.00", "last_price": "14.8900", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 23:20:13" } }, "updated_at": "2026-08-19 23:20:13" }, "opportunities": 9, "threats": 9 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 18 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 1, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. Señal ENTRAR\/COMPRAR\/COMPRAR POCO A POCO, convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 6, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 0 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 53, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 27, "complete": 26, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-03-05", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, "drawdown_method": "cartera diaria marcada a mercado", "selection_rule": "mayor prioridad técnica; desempate por ticker", "overall_30_control": { "improves_average": true, "improves_reward_risk": true, "improves_drawdown": true, "beats_spy": false }, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ] }, "in_sample": { "BASE": { "7": { "operations": 778, "win_rate": 51.03, "average_return": 0.0906, "average_return_ci_low": -0.4049, "average_return_ci_high": 0.5861, "win_rate_ci_low": 47.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 54.53, "average_win": 4.5127, "average_loss": 4.5172, "reward_risk": 0.999, "portfolio_return": 3.62, "max_drawdown": 26.7025, "excess_spy": -0.1636, "excess_qqq": -0.1943 }, "15": { "operations": 410, "win_rate": 50.24, "average_return": 1.1421, "average_return_ci_low": -0.019, "average_return_ci_high": 2.3033, "win_rate_ci_low": 45.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.06, "average_win": 8.9972, "average_loss": 6.79, "reward_risk": 1.325, "portfolio_return": 46.2095, "max_drawdown": 33.053, 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}, "trend": { "aggregate": { "operations": 35, "win_rate": 62.86, "average_return": 1.2168, "average_return_ci_low": 0.0418, "average_return_ci_high": 2.3918, "win_rate_ci_low": 46.34, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.83, "average_win": 3.4251, "average_loss": 2.5202, "reward_risk": 1.359, "portfolio_return": 4.2794, "max_drawdown": 2.9577, "excess_spy": -0.3711, "excess_qqq": -0.2067 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 9, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 4.5166, "average_return_ci_low": 2.9021, "average_return_ci_high": 6.1311, "win_rate_ci_low": 70.08, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 4.5166, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 4.1092, "max_drawdown": 0.7758, "excess_spy": 0.1782, "excess_qqq": -0.6268 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 60, "average_return": 0.9413, "average_return_ci_low": -1.4245, "average_return_ci_high": 3.307, "win_rate_ci_low": 23.07, "win_rate_ci_high": 88.24, "average_win": 2.8443, "average_loss": 1.9133, "reward_risk": 1.487, "portfolio_return": 0.4672, "max_drawdown": 0.7908, "excess_spy": -0.2094, "excess_qqq": -1.4902 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 3.0706, "average_return_ci_low": 2.1036, "average_return_ci_high": 4.0376, "win_rate_ci_low": 64.57, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 3.0706, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 2.1582, "max_drawdown": 0.7401, "excess_spy": -0.056, "excess_qqq": -0.7844 }, { "operations": 6, "win_rate": 33.33, "average_return": -0.8915, "average_return_ci_low": -2.4766, "average_return_ci_high": 0.6935, "win_rate_ci_low": 9.68, "win_rate_ci_high": 70, "average_win": 1.3964, "average_loss": 2.0355, "reward_risk": 0.686, "portfolio_return": -0.5345, "max_drawdown": 1.6051, "excess_spy": -0.6583, "excess_qqq": 0.6072 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 1, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." }, "volatile": { "aggregate": { "operations": 31, "win_rate": 41.94, "average_return": 1.1094, "average_return_ci_low": -5.9304, "average_return_ci_high": 8.1492, "win_rate_ci_low": 26.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 59.23, "average_win": 18.8978, "average_loss": 11.7378, "reward_risk": 1.61, "portfolio_return": 2.4177, "max_drawdown": 10.1269, "excess_spy": -1.5289, "excess_qqq": -2.4963 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 37.5, "average_return": 5.0584, "average_return_ci_low": -12.7081, "average_return_ci_high": 22.825, "win_rate_ci_low": 13.68, "win_rate_ci_high": 69.43, "average_win": 29.5867, "average_loss": 9.6586, "reward_risk": 3.063, "portfolio_return": 3.7692, "max_drawdown": 4.2773, "excess_spy": 2.2309, "excess_qqq": 1.4969 }, { "operations": 10, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": 3.3527, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2597, "average_return_ci_high": 16.9651, "win_rate_ci_low": 16.82, "win_rate_ci_high": 68.73, "average_win": 24.894, "average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en 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2026-08-19 16:40:58	manual	ERROR	900.000 s	0	0	1	Pasos [] Ejecución interrumpida antes de finalizar.
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], "warnings": [ "Acciones representa 67.2% y supera el límite de 35%." ] }, "opportunities": [ { "symbol": "HPE", "name": "Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 81.2, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 81.2, "price": 57.61000061, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } } ], "settings": { "capital_available": "1000.00", "max_position_pct": "10.00", "max_sector_pct": "35.00", "max_crypto_pct": "20.00", "risk_per_idea_pct": "1.00", "min_signal_score": "75.00", "min_discovery_score": "78.00", "max_daily_actions": 3, "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-07-21 19:53:42" } }, "integridad_6d": { "ok": true, "score": 79, "status": "ATENCION", "criticals": 0, "warnings": 3 } }
2026-08-19 07:56:00	manual	CORRECTO	21.490 s	27	27	0	Pasos { "cron_meta": { "ok": true, "origin": "manual", "sapi": "litespeed", "cron_query": false, "cron_header": false, "basic_auth": false, "host": "alpharadar.easymenorca.com", "https": true, "user_agent": "Mozilla\/5.0 (Linux; Android 10; K) AppleWebKit\/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko) Chrome\/151.0.0.0 Mobile Safari\/537.36" }, "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 27, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "PRUDENCIA", "session_tone": "RISK OFF", "market_risk": 56, "market_regime_score": 81, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 81, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "SPY", "points": 30, "max": 30, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200" }, { "name": "QQQ", "points": 16, "max": 20, "detail": "Relativo 20D vs SPY +0.7%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 25, "max": 25, "detail": "Normal · 15.84" }, { "name": "TLT", "points": 2, "max": 15, "detail": "20D -3.0%" }, { "name": "DXY", "points": 8, "max": 10, "detail": "20D -1.2%" } ], "formula": "SPY 30 · QQQ 20 · VIX 25 · TLT 15 · DXY 10" }, "dominant_narrative": "Mercado amplio resiste mejor", "assets": { "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "-0.11", "last_price": "99.5390", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 07:56:03" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "-1.69", "last_price": "717.5100", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 07:56:02" }, "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "-1.15", "last_price": "767.4500", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 07:56:02" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.38", "last_price": "81.6600", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 07:56:03" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "11.16", "last_price": "15.8400", "updated_at": "2026-08-19 07:56:03" } }, "updated_at": "2026-08-19 07:56:03" }, "opportunities": 0, "threats": 10 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 1 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. Señal ENTRAR\/COMPRAR\/COMPRAR POCO A POCO, convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 6, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 1 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 49, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 27, "complete": 26, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-03-05", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, 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}, "trend": { "aggregate": { "operations": 35, "win_rate": 62.86, "average_return": 1.2168, "average_return_ci_low": 0.0418, "average_return_ci_high": 2.3918, "win_rate_ci_low": 46.34, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.83, "average_win": 3.4251, "average_loss": 2.5202, "reward_risk": 1.359, "portfolio_return": 4.2794, "max_drawdown": 2.9577, "excess_spy": -0.3711, "excess_qqq": -0.2067 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 9, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 4.5166, "average_return_ci_low": 2.9021, "average_return_ci_high": 6.1311, "win_rate_ci_low": 70.08, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 4.5166, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 4.1092, "max_drawdown": 0.7758, "excess_spy": 0.1782, "excess_qqq": -0.6268 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 60, "average_return": 0.9413, "average_return_ci_low": -1.4245, "average_return_ci_high": 3.307, "win_rate_ci_low": 23.07, "win_rate_ci_high": 88.24, "average_win": 2.8443, "average_loss": 1.9133, "reward_risk": 1.487, 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2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 50, "average_return": -1.3496, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2934, "average_return_ci_high": 7.5942, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.52, "win_rate_ci_high": 78.48, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 10.8178, "reward_risk": 0.75, "portfolio_return": -1.1299, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -4.0425, "excess_qqq": -4.3356 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en 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"Ventaja prometedora en MOMENTUM, STANDARD, pero ninguna personalidad supera aún todos los controles de robustez.", "production_applied": false }, "prospectiva_6a4": { "ok": true, "run_id": 41, "status": "CORRECTO", "source_run_id": 44, "seen": 0, "created": 0, "stale": 0, "normalized": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "calibracion_6b": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "candidates": 2, "waiting_next_open": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "rules_hash": "c082f00553a5e74b119c88b8572f78838692749232c0e8248b0e8400460de9be", "production_applied": false }, "riesgo_6c": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "evaluated": 6, "verdicts": { "SETUP INVALIDADO": 3, "ESPERAR PRECIO": 3 }, "heat": { "risk_eur": 4494.8744497738135, "portfolio_value_eur": 39889.29997378201, "heat_pct": 11.268371349530211, "unknown": 0, "positions": 6, "new_capital_eur": 1000, "details": [ { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": 34.882098, "current_eur": 153, "stop_eur": 106.68586366159997, "value_eur": 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"average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a 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"average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a 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"average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a 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"symbol": "ETH-EUR", "quantity": "5.964402", "invested": "18646.258965360000", "avg_buy_price": "3126.2579157742888558", "name": "Ethereum EUR", "last_price": "1628.8300", "last_price_eur": 1628.83, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 9714.99690966, "profit_pct": -47.898412610765575, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "REVISAR RIESGO", "weight": 24.323159758385117 }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "quantity": "28.105677", "invested": "5001.686278920000", "avg_buy_price": "177.9600000000000000", "name": "NVIDIA Corporation", "last_price": "189.9400", "last_price_eur": 189.94, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5338.39228938, "profit_pct": 6.731849853899741, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "VIGILAR", "weight": 13.365580011498462 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": "4670.938373", "invested": "4997.904059110000", "avg_buy_price": "1.0700000000000000", "name": "Cardano EUR", "last_price": "0.1614", "last_price_eur": 0.1614, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 753.8894534021999, 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"SOL-EUR": 40.64349039628807, "ETH-EUR": 24.323159758385117, "NVD.DE": 13.365580011498462, "ADA-EUR": 1.887491451184115, "PTX.DE": 13.227503219925602, "CABK.MC": 6.55277516271863 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 40.64349039628807, "profit_pct": -50.50700656323189, "signal": "REVISAR RIESGO" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 24.323159758385117, "profit_pct": -47.898412610765575, "signal": "REVISAR RIESGO" }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 13.365580011498462, "profit_pct": 6.731849853899741, "signal": "VIGILAR" }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 13.227503219925602, "profit_pct": 5.901272549293801, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" } 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2026-08-11 16:10:53	manual	ERROR	900.000 s	0	0	1	Pasos [] Ejecución interrumpida antes de finalizar.
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"excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en QUALITY, STANDARD, pero ninguna 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Señal ENTRAR\/COMPRAR\/COMPRAR POCO A POCO, convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 4, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 1 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 27, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 26, "complete": 25, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-02-18", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, 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"aggregate": { "operations": 35, "win_rate": 62.86, "average_return": 1.2168, "average_return_ci_low": 0.0418, "average_return_ci_high": 2.3918, "win_rate_ci_low": 46.34, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.83, "average_win": 3.4251, "average_loss": 2.5202, "reward_risk": 1.359, "portfolio_return": 4.2794, "max_drawdown": 2.9577, "excess_spy": -0.3711, "excess_qqq": -0.2067 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 9, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 4.5166, "average_return_ci_low": 2.9021, "average_return_ci_high": 6.1311, "win_rate_ci_low": 70.08, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 4.5166, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 4.1092, "max_drawdown": 0.7758, "excess_spy": 0.1782, "excess_qqq": -0.6268 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 60, "average_return": 0.9413, "average_return_ci_low": -1.4245, "average_return_ci_high": 3.307, "win_rate_ci_low": 23.07, "win_rate_ci_high": 88.24, "average_win": 2.8443, "average_loss": 1.9133, "reward_risk": 1.487, "portfolio_return": 0.4672, "max_drawdown": 0.7908, "excess_spy": -0.2094, "excess_qqq": -1.4902 }, { "operations": 6, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 3.2173, "average_return_ci_low": 2.1249, "average_return_ci_high": 4.3097, "win_rate_ci_low": 60.97, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 3.2173, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 1.9362, "max_drawdown": 0.7401, "excess_spy": -0.032, "excess_qqq": -0.5687 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 28.57, "average_return": -0.9126, "average_return_ci_low": -2.2529, "average_return_ci_high": 0.4277, "win_rate_ci_low": 8.22, "win_rate_ci_high": 64.11, "average_win": 1.3964, "average_loss": 1.8362, "reward_risk": 0.76, "portfolio_return": -0.638, "max_drawdown": 1.6051, "excess_spy": -0.7233, "excess_qqq": 0.4919 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 1, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." }, "volatile": { "aggregate": { "operations": 31, "win_rate": 41.94, "average_return": 1.1094, "average_return_ci_low": -5.9304, "average_return_ci_high": 8.1492, "win_rate_ci_low": 26.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 59.23, "average_win": 18.8978, "average_loss": 11.7378, "reward_risk": 1.61, "portfolio_return": 2.4177, "max_drawdown": 10.1269, "excess_spy": -1.5289, "excess_qqq": -2.4963 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 37.5, "average_return": 5.0584, "average_return_ci_low": -12.7081, "average_return_ci_high": 22.825, "win_rate_ci_low": 13.68, "win_rate_ci_high": 69.43, "average_win": 29.5867, "average_loss": 9.6586, "reward_risk": 3.063, "portfolio_return": 3.7692, "max_drawdown": 4.2773, "excess_spy": 2.2309, "excess_qqq": 1.4969 }, { "operations": 10, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": 3.3527, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2597, "average_return_ci_high": 16.9651, "win_rate_ci_low": 16.82, "win_rate_ci_high": 68.73, "average_win": 24.894, "average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en QUALITY, STANDARD, pero ninguna personalidad supera aún todos los controles de robustez.", "production_applied": false }, "prospectiva_6a4": { "ok": true, "run_id": 24, "status": "CORRECTO", "source_run_id": 27, "seen": 0, "created": 0, "stale": 0, "normalized": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "calibracion_6b": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "candidates": 2, "waiting_next_open": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "rules_hash": "c082f00553a5e74b119c88b8572f78838692749232c0e8248b0e8400460de9be", "production_applied": false }, "riesgo_6c": { "ok": true, "created": 6, "evaluated": 6, "verdicts": { "SETUP INVALIDADO": 3, "ESPERAR PRECIO": 3 }, "heat": { "risk_eur": 4848.046859152912, "portfolio_value_eur": 40242.4723831611, "heat_pct": 12.047089982427394, "unknown": 0, "positions": 6, "new_capital_eur": 1000, "details": [ { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": 34.882098, "current_eur": 146.4, "stop_eur": 106.68586366159997, "value_eur": 5106.7391472, "risk_eur": 1385.3123957414314, "weight_pct": 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0.6465347294969509 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1707, "stop_eur": 0.13616887000000003, "value_eur": 797.3291802711, "risk_eur": 161.29278018005132, "weight_pct": 1.9813126109138643, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.40080236284772114 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "CORRECTO", "processed": 25, "successes": 25, "errors": [], "featured": 1, "run_id": 111 }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 136, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. Revisar no significa comprar.", "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 20, "market_regime_score": 80, "market_regime_label": "Riesgo favorable", "market_regime": { "score": 80, "label": "Riesgo favorable", "class": "good", "emoji": "🟢", "mode": "FAVORABLE", "completeness": 100, "factors": [ { "name": "SPY", "points": 30, "max": 30, "detail": ">SMA20 · >SMA50 · >SMA200" }, { "name": "QQQ", "points": 10, "max": 20, "detail": "Relativo 20D vs SPY -1.1%" }, { "name": "VIX", "points": 25, "max": 25, "detail": "Normal · 14.9" }, { "name": "TLT", "points": 7, "max": 15, "detail": "20D -2.0%" }, { "name": "DXY", "points": 8, "max": 10, "detail": "20D -1.2%" } ], "formula": "SPY 30 · QQQ 20 · VIX 25 · TLT 15 · DXY 10" }, "dominant_narrative": "Tecnología lidera", "assets": { "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "-0.37", "last_price": "99.6040", "updated_at": "2026-08-09 15:28:02" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "1.17", "last_price": "723.0300", "updated_at": "2026-08-09 15:28:01" }, "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "0.61", "last_price": "773.2600", "updated_at": "2026-08-09 15:28:01" }, "TLT": { "symbol": "TLT", "last_change": "0.29", "last_price": "82.7600", "updated_at": "2026-08-09 15:28:02" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "-1.65", "last_price": "14.9000", "updated_at": "2026-08-09 15:28:02" } }, "updated_at": "2026-08-09 15:28:02" }, "portfolio": { "positions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "quantity": "246.635617", "invested": "32799.705945610000", "avg_buy_price": "132.9885210602408654", "name": "Solana EUR", "last_price": "66.3500", "last_price_eur": 66.35, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 16364.273187949999, "profit_pct": -50.108475926320814, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "REVISAR RIESGO", "weight": 40.66418442719091 }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "quantity": "5.964402", "invested": "18646.258965360000", "avg_buy_price": "3126.2579157742888558", "name": "Ethereum EUR", "last_price": "1663.7800", "last_price_eur": 1663.78, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 9923.45275956, "profit_pct": -46.780462622581574, "bucket": "Acciones", "signal": "REVISAR RIESGO", "weight": 24.65915281018452 }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "quantity": "28.105677", "invested": "5001.686278920000", "avg_buy_price": "177.9600000000000000", "name": "NVIDIA Corporation", "last_price": "194.2200", "last_price_eur": 194.22, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 5458.68458694, "profit_pct": 9.136884693189472, "bucket": "Europa", "signal": "VIGILAR", "weight": 13.56448613536009 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": "4670.938373", "invested": "4997.904059110000", "avg_buy_price": "1.0700000000000000", "name": "Cardano EUR", "last_price": "0.1707", "last_price_eur": 0.1707, "market_currency": "EUR", "current_value": 797.3291802711, "profit_pct": 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"SOL-EUR": 40.66418442719091, "ETH-EUR": 24.65915281018452, "NVD.DE": 13.56448613536009, "ADA-EUR": 1.9813126109138643, "PTX.DE": 12.689923965349713, "CABK.MC": 6.440940051000902 }, "actions": [ { "symbol": "SOL-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 40.66418442719091, "profit_pct": -50.108475926320814, "signal": "REVISAR RIESGO" }, { "symbol": "ETH-EUR", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 24.65915281018452, "profit_pct": -46.780462622581574, "signal": "REVISAR RIESGO" }, { "symbol": "NVD.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 13.56448613536009, "profit_pct": 9.136884693189472, "signal": "VIGILAR" }, { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "action": "NO AUMENTAR", "reason": "La posición supera el peso máximo configurado.", "weight": 12.689923965349713, "profit_pct": 2.363305831352247, "signal": "MANTENER \/ NO AUMENTAR" } ], "warnings": [ "Acciones representa 67.3% y supera el límite de 35%." ] }, "opportunities": [ { "symbol": "SHOP", "name": "Shopify Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 96.1, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 96.12, "price": 147.44000244, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "ELF", "name": "e.l.f. 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personalidad supera aún todos los controles de robustez.", "production_applied": false }, "prospectiva_6a4": { "ok": true, "run_id": 22, "status": "CORRECTO", "source_run_id": 25, "seen": 0, "created": 0, "stale": 0, "normalized": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "errors": [], "production_applied": false }, "calibracion_6b": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "candidates": 2, "waiting_next_open": 0, "outcomes_created": 0, "rules_hash": "c082f00553a5e74b119c88b8572f78838692749232c0e8248b0e8400460de9be", "production_applied": false }, "riesgo_6c": { "ok": true, "created": 6, "evaluated": 6, "verdicts": { "SETUP INVALIDADO": 3, "ESPERAR PRECIO": 3 }, "heat": { "risk_eur": 4770.608548624812, "portfolio_value_eur": 40165.034072633, "heat_pct": 11.877516498549, "unknown": 0, "positions": 6, "new_capital_eur": 1000, "details": [ { "symbol": "PTX.DE", "quantity": 34.882098, "current_eur": 146.4, "stop_eur": 106.68586366159997, "value_eur": 5106.7391472, "risk_eur": 1385.3123957414314, "weight_pct": 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"warnings": [ "Acciones representa 67.2% y supera el límite de 35%." ] }, "opportunities": [ { "symbol": "SHOP", "name": "Shopify Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 96.1, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 96.12, "price": 147.44000244, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "ELF", "name": "e.l.f. 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"aggregate": { "operations": 35, "win_rate": 62.86, "average_return": 1.2168, "average_return_ci_low": 0.0418, "average_return_ci_high": 2.3918, "win_rate_ci_low": 46.34, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.83, "average_win": 3.4251, "average_loss": 2.5202, "reward_risk": 1.359, "portfolio_return": 4.2794, "max_drawdown": 2.9577, "excess_spy": -0.3711, "excess_qqq": -0.2067 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 9, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 4.5166, "average_return_ci_low": 2.9021, "average_return_ci_high": 6.1311, "win_rate_ci_low": 70.08, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 4.5166, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 4.1092, "max_drawdown": 0.7758, "excess_spy": 0.1782, "excess_qqq": -0.6268 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 60, "average_return": 0.9413, "average_return_ci_low": -1.4245, "average_return_ci_high": 3.307, "win_rate_ci_low": 23.07, "win_rate_ci_high": 88.24, "average_win": 2.8443, "average_loss": 1.9133, "reward_risk": 1.487, "portfolio_return": 0.4672, "max_drawdown": 0.7908, "excess_spy": -0.2094, "excess_qqq": -1.4902 }, { "operations": 6, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 3.2173, "average_return_ci_low": 2.1249, "average_return_ci_high": 4.3097, "win_rate_ci_low": 60.97, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 3.2173, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 1.9362, "max_drawdown": 0.7401, "excess_spy": -0.032, "excess_qqq": -0.5687 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 28.57, "average_return": -0.9126, "average_return_ci_low": -2.2529, "average_return_ci_high": 0.4277, "win_rate_ci_low": 8.22, "win_rate_ci_high": 64.11, "average_win": 1.3964, "average_loss": 1.8362, "reward_risk": 0.76, "portfolio_return": -0.638, "max_drawdown": 1.6051, "excess_spy": -0.7233, "excess_qqq": 0.4919 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 1, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." }, "volatile": { "aggregate": { "operations": 31, "win_rate": 41.94, "average_return": 1.1094, "average_return_ci_low": -5.9304, "average_return_ci_high": 8.1492, "win_rate_ci_low": 26.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 59.23, "average_win": 18.8978, "average_loss": 11.7378, "reward_risk": 1.61, "portfolio_return": 2.4177, "max_drawdown": 10.1269, "excess_spy": -1.5289, "excess_qqq": -2.4963 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 37.5, "average_return": 5.0584, "average_return_ci_low": -12.7081, "average_return_ci_high": 22.825, "win_rate_ci_low": 13.68, "win_rate_ci_high": 69.43, "average_win": 29.5867, "average_loss": 9.6586, "reward_risk": 3.063, "portfolio_return": 3.7692, "max_drawdown": 4.2773, "excess_spy": 2.2309, "excess_qqq": 1.4969 }, { "operations": 10, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": 3.3527, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2597, "average_return_ci_high": 16.9651, "win_rate_ci_low": 16.82, "win_rate_ci_high": 68.73, "average_win": 24.894, "average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en QUALITY, STANDARD, pero ninguna 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0.6539845606982938 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1724, "stop_eur": 0.13616887000000003, "value_eur": 805.2697755052, "risk_eur": 169.23337541415137, "weight_pct": 2.0241019403815756, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.42537993349893893 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "CORRECTO", "processed": 25, "successes": 25, "errors": [], "featured": 2, "run_id": 108 }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 132, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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Beauty, Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 91.9, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 91.91, "price": 92.30999756, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } }, { "symbol": "SDGR", "name": "Schrödinger, Inc.", "source": "RADAR 200", "action": "PASAR AL RADAR", "score": 87.4, "signal": null, "discovery_score": 87.43, "price": 18.15999985, "entry_low": null, "entry_high": null, "stop": null, "bucket": "Acciones", "reason": "Detección temprana fuerte; necesita señal completa antes de calcular riesgo\/recompensa.", "risk_reward": null, "size": { "pct": 0, "amount": null } } ], "settings": { "capital_available": "1000.00", "max_position_pct": "10.00", "max_sector_pct": "35.00", "max_crypto_pct": "20.00", "risk_per_idea_pct": "1.00", "min_signal_score": "75.00", "min_discovery_score": "78.00", "max_daily_actions": 3, "id": 1, "updated_at": "2026-07-21 19:53:42" } }, "integridad_6d": { "ok": true, "score": 85, "status": "ATENCION", "criticals": 0, "warnings": 2 } }
2026-08-07 22:15:02	manual	CORRECTO	17.046 s	26	26	0	Pasos { "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 26, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "MIXTO", "market_risk": 20, "dominant_narrative": "Tecnología lidera", "assets": { "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "-0.40", "last_price": "99.5660", "updated_at": "2026-08-07 22:15:04" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "1.17", "last_price": "723.0300", "updated_at": "2026-08-07 22:15:03" }, "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "0.61", "last_price": "773.2200", "updated_at": "2026-08-07 22:15:03" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "-1.85", "last_price": "14.8700", "updated_at": "2026-08-07 22:15:04" } }, "updated_at": "2026-08-07 22:15:04" }, "opportunities": 0, "threats": 10 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 2 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. Señal ENTRAR\/COMPRAR\/COMPRAR POCO A POCO, convicción ≥80 y datos ≥70%." }, "hitos_7_15_30": { "ok": true, "saved": 4, "incomplete": 0 }, "alertas_picks": { "ok": true, "created": 0 }, "laboratorio": { "ok": true, "status": "SIN MUESTRA", "sample": 1, "evaluation": { "conviction_buckets": { "0-59": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "60-69": { "operations": 1, "average": 0, "win_rate": 0 }, "70-79": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null }, "80-100": { "operations": 0, "average": null, "win_rate": null } }, "warning": "No usar para cambiar producción." }, "production_applied": false }, "laboratorio_6a": { "ok": true, "run_id": 23, "status": "PROMETEDORA", "symbols": 26, "complete": 25, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ], "variants": { "_meta": { "schema": "6a.3", "cutoff_date": "2025-02-18", "development_share_pct": 70, "test_share_pct": 30, "round_trip_cost_pct": 0.2, "position_pct": 10, "max_positions": 10, "same_symbol_overlap": false, 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2026-08-06 23:11:57	manual	ERROR	900.000 s	0	0	1	Pasos [] Ejecución interrumpida antes de finalizar.
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"excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en QUALITY, STANDARD, pero ninguna 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0.6990501201513998 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1755, "stop_eur": 0.13616887000000003, "value_eur": 819.7496844614999, "risk_eur": 183.71328437045133, "weight_pct": 2.1043689064235727, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.4716080172450332 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 25, "successes": 24, "errors": [ "STM.PA: HTTP 404" ], "featured": 2, "run_id": 105 }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 113, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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2026-08-06 22:15:02	manual	CORRECTO	24.860 s	26	26	0	Pasos { "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 26, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "RISK OFF", "market_risk": 38, "dominant_narrative": "Sesión débil sin liderazgo claro", "assets": { "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "0.25", "last_price": "99.9430", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 22:15:06" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "-0.37", "last_price": "714.6500", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 22:15:04" }, "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "-0.15", "last_price": "768.6000", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 22:15:04" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "-3.48", "last_price": "15.2600", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 22:15:06" } }, "updated_at": "2026-08-06 22:15:06" }, "opportunities": 0, "threats": 10 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 0 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. 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"drawdown_method": "cartera diaria marcada a mercado", "selection_rule": "mayor prioridad técnica; desempate por ticker", "overall_30_control": { "improves_average": true, "improves_reward_risk": true, "improves_drawdown": true, "beats_spy": false }, "errors": [ "SPCX: histórico insuficiente" ] }, "in_sample": { "BASE": { "7": { "operations": 759, "win_rate": 50.86, "average_return": 0.1443, "average_return_ci_low": -0.3556, "average_return_ci_high": 0.6442, "win_rate_ci_low": 47.3, "win_rate_ci_high": 54.4, "average_win": 4.5234, "average_loss": 4.3874, "reward_risk": 1.031, "portfolio_return": 7.8771, "max_drawdown": 26.9265, "excess_spy": -0.1627, "excess_qqq": -0.2134 }, "15": { "operations": 403, "win_rate": 50.37, "average_return": 1.0718, "average_return_ci_low": -0.0967, "average_return_ci_high": 2.2404, "win_rate_ci_low": 45.51, "win_rate_ci_high": 55.23, "average_win": 8.8015, "average_loss": 6.7738, "reward_risk": 1.299, "portfolio_return": 41.1445, "max_drawdown": 31.4641, 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"portfolio_return": 7.2032, "max_drawdown": 5.9883, "excess_spy": 2.4393, "excess_qqq": 2.6066 }, { "operations": 15, "win_rate": 53.33, "average_return": 1.5584, "average_return_ci_low": -4.4112, "average_return_ci_high": 7.528, "win_rate_ci_low": 30.12, "win_rate_ci_high": 75.19, "average_win": 10.7763, "average_loss": 8.9764, "reward_risk": 1.201, "portfolio_return": 2.2932, "max_drawdown": 4.4743, "excess_spy": -1.7707, "excess_qqq": -2.619 }, { "operations": 20, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": 1.0843, "average_return_ci_low": -5.8641, "average_return_ci_high": 8.0328, "win_rate_ci_low": 21.88, "win_rate_ci_high": 61.34, "average_win": 15.2329, "average_loss": 8.3481, "reward_risk": 1.825, "portfolio_return": 2.0975, "max_drawdown": 6.6383, "excess_spy": 0.4275, "excess_qqq": 0.9512 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "PROMETEDORA", "reason": "La ventaja aparece en varios periodos, pero aún no supera todos los controles de robustez." }, "trend": { 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0.4672, "max_drawdown": 0.7908, "excess_spy": -0.2094, "excess_qqq": -1.4902 }, { "operations": 6, "win_rate": 100, "average_return": 3.2173, "average_return_ci_low": 2.1249, "average_return_ci_high": 4.3097, "win_rate_ci_low": 60.97, "win_rate_ci_high": 100, "average_win": 3.2173, "average_loss": null, "reward_risk": null, "portfolio_return": 1.9362, "max_drawdown": 0.7401, "excess_spy": -0.032, "excess_qqq": -0.5687 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 28.57, "average_return": -0.9126, "average_return_ci_low": -2.2529, "average_return_ci_high": 0.4277, "win_rate_ci_low": 8.22, "win_rate_ci_high": 64.11, "average_win": 1.3964, "average_loss": 1.8362, "reward_risk": 0.76, "portfolio_return": -0.638, "max_drawdown": 1.6051, "excess_spy": -0.7233, "excess_qqq": 0.4919 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 1, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." }, "volatile": { "aggregate": { "operations": 31, "win_rate": 41.94, "average_return": 1.1094, "average_return_ci_low": -5.9304, "average_return_ci_high": 8.1492, "win_rate_ci_low": 26.42, "win_rate_ci_high": 59.23, "average_win": 18.8978, "average_loss": 11.7378, "reward_risk": 1.61, "portfolio_return": 2.4177, "max_drawdown": 10.1269, "excess_spy": -1.5289, "excess_qqq": -2.4963 }, "windows": [ { "operations": 8, "win_rate": 37.5, "average_return": 5.0584, "average_return_ci_low": -12.7081, "average_return_ci_high": 22.825, "win_rate_ci_low": 13.68, "win_rate_ci_high": 69.43, "average_win": 29.5867, "average_loss": 9.6586, "reward_risk": 3.063, "portfolio_return": 3.7692, "max_drawdown": 4.2773, "excess_spy": 2.2309, "excess_qqq": 1.4969 }, { "operations": 10, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": 3.3527, "average_return_ci_low": -10.2597, "average_return_ci_high": 16.9651, "win_rate_ci_low": 16.82, "win_rate_ci_high": 68.73, "average_win": 24.894, "average_loss": 11.0081, "reward_risk": 2.261, "portfolio_return": 2.944, "max_drawdown": 6.9571, "excess_spy": 2.0187, "excess_qqq": 1.727 }, { "operations": 7, "win_rate": 57.14, "average_return": -0.5713, "average_return_ci_low": -10.7473, "average_return_ci_high": 9.6047, "win_rate_ci_low": 25.05, "win_rate_ci_high": 84.18, "average_win": 8.1186, "average_loss": 12.1579, "reward_risk": 0.668, "portfolio_return": -0.4566, "max_drawdown": 4.6264, "excess_spy": -3.3581, "excess_qqq": -3.3724 }, { "operations": 5, "win_rate": 40, "average_return": -5.7614, "average_return_ci_low": -22.3321, "average_return_ci_high": 10.8092, "win_rate_ci_low": 11.76, "win_rate_ci_high": 76.93, "average_win": 12.4307, "average_loss": 17.8895, "reward_risk": 0.695, "portfolio_return": -3.0294, "max_drawdown": 6.8413, "excess_spy": -10.6178, "excess_qqq": -14.389 } ], "valid_windows": 4, "winning_windows": 2, "verdict": "DÉBIL", "reason": "La muestra no mantiene rentabilidad positiva y ventaja frente a SPY simultáneamente." } } } }, "conclusion": "Ventaja prometedora en QUALITY, STANDARD, pero ninguna 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0.6987171545342433 }, { "symbol": "ADA-EUR", "quantity": 4670.938373, "current_eur": 0.1756, "stop_eur": 0.13616887000000003, "value_eur": 820.2167782988, "risk_eur": 184.1803782077514, "weight_pct": 2.1045650707664083, "risk_pct_portfolio": 0.47258188438980303 } ] }, "production_applied": false }, "radar_200": { "ok": true, "status": "PARCIAL", "processed": 25, "successes": 24, "errors": [ "UNI-USD: Histórico insuficiente" ], "featured": 1, "run_id": 104 }, "copiloto": { "ok": true, "id": 113, "status": "REVISAR", "headline": "HOY REVISARÍA 3 OPORTUNIDADES", "summary": "Son las únicas que superan los filtros actuales. 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2026-08-06 20:29:37	manual	CORRECTO	21.578 s	26	26	0	Pasos { "precios": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "senales": { "ok": true, "success": 26, "errors": 0 }, "resultados": { "ok": true, "http": 200 }, "memoria": { "ok": true, "market": { "market_state": "NEUTRAL", "session_tone": "RISK OFF", "market_risk": 38, "dominant_narrative": "Sesión débil sin liderazgo claro", "assets": { "BTC-USD": { "symbol": "BTC-USD", "last_change": "-0.19", "last_price": "64298.7200", "updated_at": "2026-06-14 16:07:06" }, "DX-Y.NYB": { "symbol": "DX-Y.NYB", "last_change": "0.25", "last_price": "99.9350", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 20:29:41" }, "QQQ": { "symbol": "QQQ", "last_change": "-0.18", "last_price": "716.0370", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 20:29:38" }, "SPY": { "symbol": "SPY", "last_change": "-0.06", "last_price": "769.3550", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 20:29:38" }, "^VIX": { "symbol": "^VIX", "last_change": "-3.73", "last_price": "15.2200", "updated_at": "2026-08-06 20:29:42" } }, "updated_at": "2026-08-06 20:29:42" }, "opportunities": 0, "threats": 10 }, "noticias": { "ok": true, "saved": 0 }, "picks": { "ok": true, "processed": 1, "errors": [] }, "candidatas": { "ok": true, "created": 0, "errors": [], "rule": "Solo candidata; nunca activa. 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